UFC Fight Night: Jacare vs. Hermansson
Saturday, April 27, 2019·Sunrise, Florida, USA
Model Record: 9/13Overall Model Accuracy: 63.4%
Middleweight✓
Jack Hermansson won by Decision - Unanimous (R5)
Hermansson 59%41% Souza
LEAN
Submission Artist vs All-Rounder — Submission Artist wins 56% historically
→Elo gap: -276(favors Souza)
→Striking volume advantage: +0.9(favors Hermansson)
→Takedown rate advantage: +2.4(favors Hermansson)
Heavyweight✓
Greg Hardy won by KO/TKO (R1)
Hardy 80%20% Smoliakov
STRONG
→Elo gap: +282(favors Hardy)
→Striking volume advantage: +2.3(favors Hardy)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Smoliakov)
Welterweight✗
Mike Perry won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Perry 46%54% Oliveira
TOSS-UPMarket: 39% (+6.9% edge)
Striker vs Submission Artist — Striker wins 48% historically
→Elo gap: -128(favors Oliveira)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.6(favors Oliveira)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.6(favors Oliveira)
Light Heavyweight✗
Glover Teixeira won by Submission (R2)
Teixeira 49%51% Cutelaba
TOSS-UPMarket: 52% (-2.2% edge)
Wrestler vs Striker — Wrestler wins 49% historically
→Elo gap: +124(favors Teixeira)
→Striking volume advantage: -2.8(favors Cutelaba)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.4(favors Cutelaba)
Bantamweight✓
Cory Sandhagen won by Decision - Split (R3)
Sandhagen 59%41% Lineker
LEANMarket: 41% (+17.4% edge)
Wrestler vs All-Rounder — Wrestler wins 59% historically
→Elo gap: -246(favors Lineker)
→Striking volume advantage: +4.2(favors Sandhagen)
→Takedown rate advantage: +1.4(favors Sandhagen)
Lightweight✓
Roosevelt Roberts won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Roberts 87%13% Gifford
STRONGMarket: 80% (+6.6% edge)
→Elo gap: +97(favors Roberts)
→Striking volume advantage: +3.3(favors Roberts)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Gifford)
Welterweight✓
Takashi Sato won by KO/TKO (R2)
Sato 63%37% Saunders
LEANMarket: 67% (-4.3% edge)
Striker vs All-Rounder — Striker wins 51% historically
→Elo gap: +69(favors Sato)
→Striking volume advantage: -2.6(favors Saunders)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Saunders)
Heavyweight✓
Augusto Sakai won by Decision - Split (R3)
Sakai 62%38% Arlovski
LEANMarket: 60% (+1.6% edge)
Striker vs All-Rounder — Striker wins 51% historically
→Elo gap: +6(favors Sakai)
→Striking volume advantage: +4.5(favors Sakai)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.1(favors Arlovski)
Women's Strawweight✗
Carla Esparza won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Esparza 44%56% Jandiroba
LEANMarket: 52% (-8.3% edge)
Wrestler vs Wrestler — Wrestler wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: +74(favors Esparza)
→Striking volume advantage: +2.3(favors Esparza)
→Takedown rate advantage: +2.8(favors Esparza)
Lightweight✓
Gilbert Burns won by Submission (R2)
Burns 60%40% Davis
LEANMarket: 70% (-9.9% edge)
Submission Artist vs All-Rounder — Submission Artist wins 56% historically
→Elo gap: +305(favors Burns)
→Striking volume advantage: +4.3(favors Burns)
→Takedown rate advantage: +2.5(favors Burns)
Lightweight✓
Jim Miller won by Submission (R1)
Miller 60%40% Gonzalez
LEANMarket: 55% (+5.5% edge)
→Elo gap: +156(favors Miller)
→Striking volume advantage: +0.2(favors Miller)
→Takedown rate advantage: +1.7(favors Miller)
Women's Strawweight✓
Angela Hill won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Hill 84%16% Esquibel
STRONGMarket: 83% (+0.4% edge)
→Elo gap: -10(favors Esquibel)
→Striking volume advantage: +1.2(favors Hill)
→Takedown rate advantage: +0.7(favors Hill)
Welterweight✗
Dhiego Lima won by Decision - Split (R3)
Lima 49%51% McGee
TOSS-UPMarket: 39% (+9.7% edge)
Striker vs Wrestler — Striker wins 51% historically
→Elo gap: -171(favors McGee)
→Striking volume advantage: -2.1(favors McGee)
→Takedown rate advantage: -1.6(favors McGee)