UFC Fight Night: Till vs. Masvidal
Saturday, March 16, 2019·London, England, United Kingdom
Model Record: 7/12Overall Model Accuracy: 63.4%
Welterweight✗
Jorge Masvidal won by KO/TKO (R2)
Masvidal 20%80% Till
STRONGMarket: 33% (-13.3% edge)
All-Rounder vs Striker — All-Rounder wins 49% historically
→Elo gap: -46(favors Till)
→Striking volume advantage: +3.3(favors Masvidal)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.4(favors Till)
Welterweight✓
Leon Edwards won by Decision - Split (R3)
Edwards 69%31% Nelson
CONFIDENTMarket: 57% (+11.8% edge)
Wrestler vs Wrestler — Wrestler wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: +66(favors Edwards)
→Striking volume advantage: +1.2(favors Edwards)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.5(favors Nelson)
Light Heavyweight✓
Dominick Reyes won by Decision - Split (R3)
Reyes 76%24% Oezdemir
STRONGMarket: 70% (+6.0% edge)
Knockout Artist vs Striker — Knockout Artist wins 54% historically
→Elo gap: +12(favors Reyes)
→Striking volume advantage: +0.8(favors Reyes)
→Takedown rate advantage: +0.3(favors Reyes)
Bantamweight✓
Nathaniel Wood won by Submission (R2)
Wood 76%24% Quinonez
STRONGMarket: 74% (+2.1% edge)
All-Rounder vs Wrestler — All-Rounder wins 42% historically
→Elo gap: -16(favors Quinonez)
→Striking volume advantage: +1.1(favors Wood)
→Takedown rate advantage: -1.5(favors Quinonez)
Welterweight✗
Claudio Silva won by Submission (R3)
Silva 48%52% Roberts
TOSS-UPMarket: 58% (-10.4% edge)
Wrestler vs All-Rounder — Wrestler wins 59% historically
→Elo gap: +129(favors Silva)
→Striking volume advantage: -1.2(favors Roberts)
→Takedown rate advantage: +3.0(favors Silva)
Middleweight✓
Jack Marshman won by Decision - Split (R3)
Marshman 69%31% Phillips
CONFIDENTMarket: 57% (+12.9% edge)
Striker vs Striker — Striker wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: +146(favors Marshman)
→Striking volume advantage: +0.0(favors Marshman)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Phillips)
Featherweight✓
Arnold Allen won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Allen 67%33% Rinaldi
CONFIDENTMarket: 58% (+9.8% edge)
→Elo gap: +165(favors Allen)
→Striking volume advantage: +0.7(favors Allen)
→Takedown rate advantage: +0.2(favors Allen)
Lightweight✗
Marc Diakiese won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Diakiese 50%50% Duffy
TOSS-UP
Striker vs Knockout Artist — Striker wins 46% historically
→Elo gap: -298(favors Duffy)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.7(favors Duffy)
→Takedown rate advantage: +1.4(favors Diakiese)
Light Heavyweight✗
Saparbeg Safarov won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Safarov 42%58% Negumereanu
LEAN
→Elo gap: -135(favors Negumereanu)
→Striking volume advantage: +3.8(favors Safarov)
→Takedown rate advantage: +2.5(favors Safarov)
Featherweight✓
Dan Ige won by Submission (R1)
Ige 72%28% Henry
CONFIDENTMarket: 57% (+15.1% edge)
→Elo gap: -77(favors Henry)
→Striking volume advantage: -2.3(favors Henry)
→Takedown rate advantage: +1.5(favors Ige)
Women's Flyweight✓
Molly McCann won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
McCann 64%36% Cachoeira
LEANMarket: 64% (+0.2% edge)
All-Rounder vs Striker — All-Rounder wins 49% historically
→Elo gap: -39(favors Cachoeira)
→Striking volume advantage: +1.2(favors McCann)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Cachoeira)
Featherweight✗
Mike Grundy won by KO/TKO (R2)
Grundy 48%52% Narimani
TOSS-UPMarket: 45% (+3.5% edge)
→Elo gap: -150(favors Narimani)
→Striking volume advantage: -4.3(favors Narimani)
→Takedown rate advantage: -3.5(favors Narimani)