UFC Fight Night: Blachowicz vs. Santos
Saturday, February 23, 2019·Prague, Czech Republic
Model Record: 10/13Overall Model Accuracy: 63.4%
Light Heavyweight✓
Thiago Santos won by KO/TKO (R3)
Santos 51%49% Blachowicz
TOSS-UPMarket: 54% (-2.2% edge)
Submission Artist vs All-Rounder — Submission Artist wins 56% historically
→Elo gap: +55(favors Santos)
→Striking volume advantage: +2.4(favors Santos)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.3(favors Blachowicz)
Heavyweight✓
Stefan Struve won by Submission (R2)
Struve 62%38% Lima
LEANMarket: 51% (+10.5% edge)
All-Rounder vs Wrestler — All-Rounder wins 42% historically
→Elo gap: -91(favors Lima)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.4(favors Lima)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.9(favors Lima)
Light Heavyweight✓
Michal Oleksiejczuk won by KO/TKO (R1)
Oleksiejczuk 77%23% Villante
STRONGMarket: 67% (+9.9% edge)
Striker vs Striker — Striker wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: -134(favors Villante)
→Striking volume advantage: +0.4(favors Oleksiejczuk)
→Takedown rate advantage: +2.0(favors Oleksiejczuk)
Women's Flyweight✓
Liz Carmouche won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Carmouche 55%45% Pudilova
LEANMarket: 58% (-2.4% edge)
Striker vs All-Rounder — Striker wins 51% historically
→Elo gap: +70(favors Carmouche)
→Striking volume advantage: -3.1(favors Pudilova)
→Takedown rate advantage: +3.6(favors Carmouche)
Bantamweight✓
Petr Yan won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Yan 78%22% Dodson
STRONGMarket: 71% (+6.3% edge)
Striker vs Striker — Striker wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: +30(favors Yan)
→Striking volume advantage: +3.4(favors Yan)
→Takedown rate advantage: +1.2(favors Yan)
Light Heavyweight✓
Magomed Ankalaev won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Ankalaev 57%43% Abreu
LEAN
→Elo gap: +9(favors Ankalaev)
→Striking volume advantage: +3.9(favors Ankalaev)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Abreu)
Welterweight✗
Dwight Grant won by KO/TKO (R1)
Grant 45%55% Jr.
LEANMarket: 41% (+3.2% edge)
→Elo gap: -104(favors Jr.)
→Striking volume advantage: -2.7(favors Jr.)
→Takedown rate advantage: -1.9(favors Jr.)
Featherweight✓
Chris Fishgold won by Submission (R2)
Fishgold 70%30% Teymur
CONFIDENTMarket: 68% (+2.1% edge)
→Elo gap: +83(favors Fishgold)
→Striking volume advantage: +1.0(favors Fishgold)
→Takedown rate advantage: +3.6(favors Fishgold)
Women's Flyweight✓
Gillian Robertson won by Submission (R2)
Robertson 68%32% Hardy
CONFIDENT
Wrestler vs All-Rounder — Wrestler wins 59% historically
→Elo gap: +208(favors Robertson)
→Striking volume advantage: +0.4(favors Robertson)
→Takedown rate advantage: +3.7(favors Robertson)
Lightweight✓
Damir Hadzovic won by KO/TKO (R2)
Hadzovic 66%34% Reyes
CONFIDENTMarket: 55% (+11.3% edge)
Striker vs Striker — Striker wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: -97(favors Reyes)
→Striking volume advantage: -4.0(favors Reyes)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Reyes)
Welterweight✗
Ismail Naurdiev won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Naurdiev 22%78% Prazeres
STRONGMarket: 20% (+1.6% edge)
Striker vs Wrestler — Striker wins 51% historically
→Elo gap: -467(favors Prazeres)
→Striking volume advantage: -3.0(favors Prazeres)
→Takedown rate advantage: -4.4(favors Prazeres)
Lightweight✗
Diego Ferreira won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Ferreira 38%62% Khabilov
LEAN
All-Rounder vs Striker — All-Rounder wins 49% historically
→Elo gap: -138(favors Khabilov)
→Striking volume advantage: +2.3(favors Ferreira)
→Takedown rate advantage: -2.9(favors Khabilov)
Lightweight✓
Damir Ismagulov won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Ismagulov 76%24% Alvarez
STRONGMarket: 74% (+1.8% edge)
Striker vs All-Rounder — Striker wins 51% historically
→Elo gap: +85(favors Ismagulov)
→Striking volume advantage: +2.3(favors Ismagulov)
→Takedown rate advantage: +5.0(favors Ismagulov)