UFC Fight Night: Cejudo vs. Dillashaw
Saturday, January 19, 2019·Brooklyn, New York, USA
Model Record: 7/13Overall Model Accuracy: 63.4%
FlyweightMISS
Henry Cejudo won by KO/TKO (R1)
Cejudo 34%66% Dillashaw
CONFIDENT
Striker vs All-Rounder — Striker wins 51% historically
→Elo gap: -238(favors Dillashaw)
→Striking volume advantage: -1.5(favors Dillashaw)
→Takedown rate advantage: +0.8(favors Cejudo)
HeavyweightMISS
Allen Crowder won by DQ (R2)
Crowder 31%69% Hardy
CONFIDENTMarket: 20% (+10.9% edge)
→Elo gap: -112(favors Hardy)
→Striking volume advantage: +5.9(favors Crowder)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Hardy)
LightweightHIT
Gregor Gillespie won by KO/TKO (R2)
Gillespie 92%8% Medeiros
STRONGMarket: 80% (+11.2% edge)
Submission Artist vs Knockout Artist — Submission Artist wins 46% historically
→Elo gap: +125(favors Gillespie)
→Striking volume advantage: -1.3(favors Medeiros)
→Takedown rate advantage: +6.7(favors Gillespie)
FlyweightHIT
Joseph Benavidez won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Benavidez 61%39% Ortiz
LEANMarket: 68% (-6.7% edge)
All-Rounder vs Striker — All-Rounder wins 49% historically
→Elo gap: +87(favors Benavidez)
→Striking volume advantage: +1.9(favors Benavidez)
→Takedown rate advantage: -4.5(favors Ortiz)
Women's FlyweightHIT
Paige VanZant won by Submission (R2)
VanZant 60%40% Ostovich
LEANMarket: 61% (-1.3% edge)
→Elo gap: -22(favors Ostovich)
→Striking volume advantage: +0.3(favors VanZant)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.1(favors Ostovich)
Light HeavyweightMISS
Glover Teixeira won by Submission (R1)
Teixeira 34%66% Roberson
CONFIDENTMarket: 50% (-15.4% edge)
All-Rounder vs All-Rounder — All-Rounder wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: +233(favors Teixeira)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.5(favors Roberson)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.5(favors Roberson)
LightweightMISS
Donald Cerrone won by KO/TKO (R2)
Cerrone 40%60% Hernandez
LEANMarket: 35% (+4.6% edge)
All-Rounder vs Striker — All-Rounder wins 49% historically
→Elo gap: +105(favors Cerrone)
→Striking volume advantage: +0.6(favors Cerrone)
→Takedown rate advantage: -3.0(favors Hernandez)
Women's FlyweightHIT
Joanne Wood won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Wood 64%36% Silva
LEAN
All-Rounder vs Knockout Artist — All-Rounder wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: +64(favors Wood)
→Striking volume advantage: +5.5(favors Wood)
→Takedown rate advantage: +1.7(favors Wood)
Light HeavyweightHIT
Alonzo Menifield won by KO/TKO (R1)
Menifield 71%29% Moreira
CONFIDENTMarket: 73% (-1.9% edge)
→Elo gap: -0(favors Moreira)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.0(favors Moreira)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Moreira)
BantamweightHIT
Cory Sandhagen won by Submission (R1)
Sandhagen 88%12% Bautista
STRONGMarket: 83% (+5.3% edge)
Wrestler vs All-Rounder — Wrestler wins 59% historically
→Elo gap: +281(favors Sandhagen)
→Striking volume advantage: +9.8(favors Sandhagen)
→Takedown rate advantage: +1.0(favors Sandhagen)
LightweightHIT
Dennis Bermudez won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Bermudez 60%40% Edwards
LEANMarket: 47% (+13.3% edge)
→Elo gap: +144(favors Bermudez)
→Striking volume advantage: +3.5(favors Bermudez)
→Takedown rate advantage: +0.3(favors Bermudez)
WelterweightMISS
Geoff Neal won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Neal 50%50% Muhammad
TOSS-UPMarket: 65% (-15.0% edge)
All-Rounder vs All-Rounder — All-Rounder wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: -176(favors Muhammad)
→Striking volume advantage: +3.4(favors Neal)
→Takedown rate advantage: -2.5(favors Muhammad)
WelterweightMISS
Chance Rencountre won by Submission (R1)
Rencountre 36%64% Stewart
LEANMarket: 39% (-3.3% edge)
→Elo gap: -25(favors Stewart)
→Striking volume advantage: +1.1(favors Rencountre)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Stewart)