UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Ngannou 2
Saturday, November 24, 2018·Beijing, China
Model Record: 8/12Overall Model Accuracy: 63.4%
Heavyweight✗
Francis Ngannou won by KO/TKO (R1)
Ngannou 41%59% Blaydes
LEANMarket: 32% (+8.6% edge)
Knockout Artist vs Striker — Knockout Artist wins 54% historically
→Elo gap: -109(favors Blaydes)
→Striking volume advantage: -3.1(favors Blaydes)
→Takedown rate advantage: -7.0(favors Blaydes)
Heavyweight✗
Alistair Overeem won by KO/TKO (R1)
Overeem 43%57% Pavlovich
LEAN
Knockout Artist vs Striker — Knockout Artist wins 54% historically
→Elo gap: +394(favors Overeem)
→Striking volume advantage: +2.0(favors Overeem)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Pavlovich)
Bantamweight✓
Song Yadong won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Yadong 71%29% Morales
CONFIDENT
All-Rounder vs All-Rounder — All-Rounder wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: +206(favors Yadong)
→Striking volume advantage: +3.3(favors Yadong)
→Takedown rate advantage: +1.1(favors Yadong)
Welterweight✓
Li Jingliang won by KO/TKO (R3)
Jingliang 53%47% Zawada
TOSS-UPMarket: 65% (-13.0% edge)
→Elo gap: +249(favors Jingliang)
→Striking volume advantage: +3.0(favors Jingliang)
→Takedown rate advantage: -1.5(favors Zawada)
Welterweight✓
Alex Morono won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Morono 58%42% Kenan
LEAN
All-Rounder vs Striker — All-Rounder wins 49% historically
→Elo gap: -140(favors Kenan)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.7(favors Kenan)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Kenan)
Women's Flyweight✓
Wu Yanan won by Submission (R1)
Yanan 54%46% Mueller
TOSS-UP
→Elo gap: -214(favors Mueller)
→Striking volume advantage: -2.4(favors Mueller)
→Takedown rate advantage: -1.0(favors Mueller)
Light Heavyweight✗
Rashad Coulter won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Coulter 49%51% Yaozong
TOSS-UPMarket: 47% (+2.1% edge)
→Elo gap: -224(favors Yaozong)
→Striking volume advantage: +2.4(favors Coulter)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Yaozong)
Women's Strawweight✓
Zhang Weili won by Submission (R1)
Weili 76%24% Aguilar
STRONG
→Elo gap: +116(favors Weili)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.5(favors Aguilar)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.3(favors Aguilar)
Bantamweight✓
Pingyuan Liu won by Decision - Split (R3)
Liu 62%38% Day
LEANMarket: 64% (-2.7% edge)
→Elo gap: +72(favors Liu)
→Striking volume advantage: +2.1(favors Liu)
→Takedown rate advantage: +1.0(favors Liu)
Women's Strawweight✓
Yan Xiaonan won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Xiaonan 86%14% Kondo
STRONGMarket: 78% (+8.0% edge)
→Elo gap: +198(favors Xiaonan)
→Striking volume advantage: -3.2(favors Kondo)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Kondo)
Middleweight✓
Kevin Holland won by Submission (R3)
Holland 89%11% Phillips
STRONGMarket: 83% (+6.0% edge)
All-Rounder vs Striker — All-Rounder wins 49% historically
→Elo gap: +85(favors Holland)
→Striking volume advantage: +2.1(favors Holland)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Phillips)
Bantamweight✗
Louis Smolka won by Submission (R2)
Smolka 43%57% Sumudaerji
LEAN
Wrestler vs All-Rounder — Wrestler wins 59% historically
→Elo gap: -73(favors Sumudaerji)
→Striking volume advantage: +3.3(favors Smolka)
→Takedown rate advantage: +1.3(favors Smolka)