UFC 228: Woodley vs. Till
Saturday, September 8, 2018·Dallas, Texas, USA
Model Record: 8/13Overall Model Accuracy: 63.4%
Welterweight✗
Tyron Woodley won by Submission (R2)
Woodley 39%61% Till
LEANMarket: 48% (-8.7% edge)
All-Rounder vs Striker — All-Rounder wins 49% historically
→Elo gap: +344(favors Woodley)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.3(favors Till)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.3(favors Till)
Women's Strawweight✓
Jessica Andrade won by KO/TKO (R1)
Andrade 89%11% Kowalkiewicz
STRONGMarket: 80% (+8.8% edge)
Wrestler vs Striker — Wrestler wins 49% historically
→Elo gap: +159(favors Andrade)
→Striking volume advantage: +0.8(favors Andrade)
→Takedown rate advantage: +3.8(favors Andrade)
Featherweight✓
Zabit Magomedsharipov won by Submission (R2)
Magomedsharipov 89%11% Davis
STRONGMarket: 91% (-1.7% edge)
Wrestler vs All-Rounder — Wrestler wins 59% historically
→Elo gap: +273(favors Magomedsharipov)
→Striking volume advantage: +0.5(favors Magomedsharipov)
→Takedown rate advantage: +6.2(favors Magomedsharipov)
Bantamweight✓
Jimmie Rivera won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Rivera 56%44% Dodson
LEANMarket: 58% (-1.9% edge)
Striker vs Striker — Striker wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: -124(favors Dodson)
→Striking volume advantage: +0.4(favors Rivera)
→Takedown rate advantage: +0.8(favors Rivera)
Welterweight✗
Abdul Razak Alhassan won by KO/TKO (R1)
Alhassan 41%59% Price
LEANMarket: 51% (-9.5% edge)
All-Rounder vs Knockout Artist — All-Rounder wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: -158(favors Price)
→Striking volume advantage: +1.4(favors Alhassan)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.6(favors Price)
Women's Strawweight✓
Tatiana Suarez won by KO/TKO (R3)
Suarez 90%10% Esparza
STRONGMarket: 78% (+11.5% edge)
Wrestler vs Wrestler — Wrestler wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: +114(favors Suarez)
→Striking volume advantage: +1.6(favors Suarez)
→Takedown rate advantage: +2.5(favors Suarez)
Bantamweight✓
Aljamain Sterling won by Submission (R2)
Sterling 61%39% Stamann
LEANMarket: 61% (+0.2% edge)
All-Rounder vs Striker — All-Rounder wins 49% historically
→Elo gap: +8(favors Sterling)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.8(favors Stamann)
→Takedown rate advantage: -2.5(favors Stamann)
Welterweight✓
Geoff Neal won by KO/TKO (R2)
Neal 60%40% Camacho
LEANMarket: 65% (-5.1% edge)
All-Rounder vs Striker — All-Rounder wins 49% historically
→Elo gap: +113(favors Neal)
→Striking volume advantage: -1.6(favors Camacho)
→Takedown rate advantage: -1.7(favors Camacho)
Middleweight✓
Darren Stewart won by KO/TKO (R2)
Stewart 53%47% Byrd
TOSS-UPMarket: 38% (+14.5% edge)
→Elo gap: -147(favors Byrd)
→Striking volume advantage: +0.4(favors Stewart)
→Takedown rate advantage: -1.2(favors Byrd)
Welterweight✗
Diego Sanchez won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Sanchez 26%74% White
CONFIDENTMarket: 34% (-8.3% edge)
→Elo gap: +45(favors Sanchez)
→Striking volume advantage: +1.8(favors Sanchez)
→Takedown rate advantage: +0.8(favors Sanchez)
Lightweight✗
Jim Miller won by Submission (R1)
Miller 39%61% White
LEANMarket: 39% (-0.4% edge)
Wrestler vs All-Rounder — Wrestler wins 59% historically
→Elo gap: +66(favors Miller)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.7(favors White)
→Takedown rate advantage: +0.8(favors Miller)
Women's Bantamweight✗
Irene Aldana won by Decision - Split (R3)
Aldana 41%59% Pudilova
LEANMarket: 51% (-10.0% edge)
All-Rounder vs All-Rounder — All-Rounder wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: -173(favors Pudilova)
→Striking volume advantage: +0.8(favors Aldana)
→Takedown rate advantage: +0.7(favors Aldana)
Flyweight✓
Jarred Brooks won by Decision - Split (R3)
Brooks 59%41% Sanchez
LEAN
→Elo gap: -113(favors Sanchez)
→Striking volume advantage: +1.6(favors Brooks)
→Takedown rate advantage: -4.9(favors Sanchez)