UFC 227: Dillashaw vs. Garbrandt 2
Saturday, August 4, 2018·Los Angeles, California, USA
Model Record: 9/12Overall Model Accuracy: 63.4%
BantamweightHIT
TJ Dillashaw won by KO/TKO (R1)
Dillashaw 62%38% Garbrandt
LEAN
All-Rounder vs Striker — All-Rounder wins 49% historically
→Elo gap: +283(favors Dillashaw)
→Striking volume advantage: +1.7(favors Dillashaw)
→Takedown rate advantage: +1.0(favors Dillashaw)
FlyweightMISS
Henry Cejudo won by Decision - Split (R5)
Cejudo 20%80% Johnson
STRONGMarket: 20% (+0.6% edge)
Striker vs Wrestler — Striker wins 51% historically
→Elo gap: -266(favors Johnson)
→Striking volume advantage: +0.1(favors Cejudo)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.4(favors Johnson)
FeatherweightHIT
Renato Moicano won by Submission (R1)
Moicano 76%24% Swanson
STRONGMarket: 73% (+3.2% edge)
All-Rounder vs All-Rounder — All-Rounder wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: -32(favors Swanson)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.5(favors Swanson)
→Takedown rate advantage: +0.2(favors Moicano)
Women's StrawweightHIT
JJ Aldrich won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Aldrich 52%48% Viana
TOSS-UP
Striker vs Wrestler — Striker wins 51% historically
→Elo gap: +5(favors Aldrich)
→Striking volume advantage: +0.9(favors Aldrich)
→Takedown rate advantage: -3.6(favors Viana)
MiddleweightHIT
Thiago Santos won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Santos 71%29% Holland
CONFIDENTMarket: 75% (-3.5% edge)
Striker vs All-Rounder — Striker wins 51% historically
→Elo gap: +301(favors Santos)
→Striking volume advantage: +6.7(favors Santos)
→Takedown rate advantage: +0.5(favors Santos)
BantamweightHIT
Pedro Munhoz won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Munhoz 67%33% Johns
CONFIDENTMarket: 67% (+0.1% edge)
Wrestler vs Wrestler — Wrestler wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: +152(favors Munhoz)
→Striking volume advantage: +1.6(favors Munhoz)
→Takedown rate advantage: -3.2(favors Johns)
BantamweightMISS
Ricky Simon won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Simon 44%56% Jackson
LEANMarket: 48% (-3.9% edge)
All-Rounder vs Submission Artist — All-Rounder wins 44% historically
→Elo gap: +85(favors Simon)
→Striking volume advantage: +2.3(favors Simon)
→Takedown rate advantage: +2.0(favors Simon)
BantamweightHIT
Ricardo Ramos won by Decision - Split (R3)
Ramos 71%29% Kang
CONFIDENTMarket: 71% (-0.7% edge)
All-Rounder vs All-Rounder — All-Rounder wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: +21(favors Ramos)
→Striking volume advantage: +1.3(favors Ramos)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.9(favors Kang)
FeatherweightHIT
Sheymon Moraes won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Moraes 51%49% Sayles
TOSS-UP
→Elo gap: -76(favors Sayles)
→Striking volume advantage: +1.2(favors Moraes)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Sayles)
FlyweightHIT
Alex Perez won by KO/TKO (R1)
Perez 56%44% Torres
LEANMarket: 56% (+0.4% edge)
→Elo gap: +15(favors Perez)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.4(favors Torres)
→Takedown rate advantage: +2.9(favors Perez)
Women's StrawweightHIT
Zhang Weili won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Weili 57%43% Taylor
LEAN
→Elo gap: +31(favors Weili)
→Striking volume advantage: -2.9(favors Taylor)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.3(favors Taylor)
BantamweightMISS
Marlon Vera won by KO/TKO (R2)
Vera 49%51% Wulijiburen
TOSS-UP
→Elo gap: +229(favors Vera)
→Striking volume advantage: +2.6(favors Vera)
→Takedown rate advantage: -3.8(favors Wulijiburen)