UFC 227: Dillashaw vs. Garbrandt 2
Saturday, August 4, 2018·Los Angeles, California, USA·12 fights
Model: 8/12(67%)
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Main Card
BantamweightHIT
TJ Dillashaw won by KO/TKO (R1)
Dillashaw 64%36% Garbrandt
Over/UnderOver 53%
Under 47%Over 53%
LEAN
All-Rounder vs Striker — All-Rounder wins 49% historically
→Elo gap: +214(favors Dillashaw)
→Striking volume advantage: +1.7(favors Dillashaw)
→Takedown rate advantage: +1.0(favors Dillashaw)
FlyweightMISS
Henry Cejudo won by Decision - Split (R5)
Cejudo 19%81% Johnson
Over/UnderOver 67%
Under 33%Over 67%
STRONGMarket: 20% (-1.0% edge)
Striker vs Wrestler — Striker wins 51% historically
→Elo gap: -231(favors Johnson)
→Striking volume advantage: +0.1(favors Cejudo)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.4(favors Johnson)
FeatherweightHIT
Renato Moicano won by Submission (R1)
Moicano 81%19% Swanson
Over/UnderOver 56%
Under 44%Over 56%
STRONGMarket: 73% (+7.4% edge)
All-Rounder vs All-Rounder — All-Rounder wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: -69(favors Swanson)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.5(favors Swanson)
→Takedown rate advantage: +0.2(favors Moicano)
Women's StrawweightHIT
JJ Aldrich won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Aldrich 56%44% Viana
Over/UnderOver 55%
Under 45%Over 55%
LEAN
Striker vs Wrestler — Striker wins 51% historically
→Elo gap: +18(favors Aldrich)
→Striking volume advantage: +0.9(favors Aldrich)
→Takedown rate advantage: -3.6(favors Viana)
MiddleweightHIT
Thiago Santos won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Santos 76%24% Holland
Over/UnderUnder 57%
Under 57%Over 43%
STRONGMarket: 75% (+1.5% edge)
Striker vs All-Rounder — Striker wins 51% historically
→Elo gap: +417(favors Santos)
→Striking volume advantage: +6.7(favors Santos)
→Takedown rate advantage: +0.5(favors Santos)
Prelims
BantamweightHIT
Pedro Munhoz won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Munhoz 69%31% Johns
Over/UnderOver 62%
Under 38%Over 62%
CONFIDENTMarket: 67% (+2.8% edge)
Wrestler vs Wrestler — Wrestler wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: +145(favors Munhoz)
→Striking volume advantage: +1.6(favors Munhoz)
→Takedown rate advantage: -3.2(favors Johns)
BantamweightMISS
Ricky Simon won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Simon 47%53% Jackson
Over/UnderOver 59%
Under 41%Over 59%
TOSS-UPMarket: 48% (-0.2% edge)
All-Rounder vs Knockout Artist — All-Rounder wins 51% historically
→Elo gap: +117(favors Simon)
→Striking volume advantage: +2.3(favors Simon)
→Takedown rate advantage: +2.0(favors Simon)
BantamweightHIT
Ricardo Ramos won by Decision - Split (R3)
Ramos 72%28% Kang
Over/UnderOver 51%
Under 49%Over 51%
CONFIDENTMarket: 71% (+0.3% edge)
All-Rounder vs All-Rounder — All-Rounder wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: +36(favors Ramos)
→Striking volume advantage: +1.3(favors Ramos)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.9(favors Kang)
FeatherweightMISS
Sheymon Moraes won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Moraes 48%52% Sayles
Over/UnderOver 60%
Under 40%Over 60%
TOSS-UP
→Elo gap: -92(favors Sayles)
→Striking volume advantage: +1.2(favors Moraes)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Sayles)
Early Prelims
FlyweightHIT
Alex Perez won by KO/TKO (R1)
Perez 66%34% Torres
Over/UnderOver 60%
Under 40%Over 60%
CONFIDENTMarket: 56% (+10.3% edge)
→Elo gap: -5(favors Torres)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.4(favors Torres)
→Takedown rate advantage: +2.9(favors Perez)
Women's StrawweightMISS
Zhang Weili won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Weili 44%56% Taylor
Over/UnderOver 65%
Under 35%Over 65%
LEAN
→Elo gap: +58(favors Weili)
→Striking volume advantage: -2.9(favors Taylor)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.3(favors Taylor)
BantamweightHIT
Marlon Vera won by KO/TKO (R2)
Vera 56%44% Wulijiburen
Over/UnderOver 55%
Under 45%Over 55%
LEAN
→Elo gap: +370(favors Vera)
→Striking volume advantage: +2.6(favors Vera)
→Takedown rate advantage: -3.8(favors Wulijiburen)