UFC 222: Cyborg vs. Kunitskaya
Saturday, March 3, 2018·Las Vegas, Nevada, USA
Model Record: 9/12Overall Model Accuracy: 63.4%
Women's Featherweight✓
Cristiane Justino won by KO/TKO (R1)
Justino 85%15% Santos
STRONGMarket: 90% (-5.2% edge)
Striker vs Striker — Striker wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: +336(favors Justino)
→Striking volume advantage: +6.6(favors Justino)
→Takedown rate advantage: +0.7(favors Justino)
Featherweight✗
Brian Ortega won by KO/TKO (R1)
Ortega 48%52% Edgar
TOSS-UPMarket: 40% (+8.0% edge)
Wrestler vs All-Rounder — Wrestler wins 59% historically
→Elo gap: -139(favors Edgar)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.1(favors Edgar)
→Takedown rate advantage: -2.1(favors Edgar)
Bantamweight✓
Sean O'Malley won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
O'Malley 71%29% Soukhamthath
CONFIDENTMarket: 53% (+17.7% edge)
Striker vs Knockout Artist — Striker wins 46% historically
→Elo gap: -15(favors Soukhamthath)
→Striking volume advantage: +6.4(favors O'Malley)
→Takedown rate advantage: +3.0(favors O'Malley)
Heavyweight✗
Andrei Arlovski won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Arlovski 34%66% Struve
CONFIDENTMarket: 37% (-3.4% edge)
All-Rounder vs All-Rounder — All-Rounder wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: +6(favors Arlovski)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.3(favors Struve)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.6(favors Struve)
Women's Bantamweight✓
Ketlen Vieira won by Decision - Split (R3)
Vieira 72%28% Zingano
CONFIDENTMarket: 60% (+11.2% edge)
Wrestler vs Wrestler — Wrestler wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: +149(favors Vieira)
→Striking volume advantage: +0.4(favors Vieira)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.4(favors Zingano)
Women's Strawweight✓
Mackenzie Dern won by Decision - Split (R3)
Dern 85%15% Yoder
STRONGMarket: 80% (+5.0% edge)
Wrestler vs All-Rounder — Wrestler wins 59% historically
→Elo gap: +177(favors Dern)
→Striking volume advantage: -2.3(favors Yoder)
→Takedown rate advantage: -2.0(favors Yoder)
Lightweight✗
Alexander Hernandez won by KO/TKO (R1)
Hernandez 19%81% Dariush
STRONGMarket: 21% (-2.2% edge)
Striker vs All-Rounder — Striker wins 51% historically
→Elo gap: -378(favors Dariush)
→Striking volume advantage: -5.4(favors Dariush)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.3(favors Dariush)
Bantamweight✓
John Dodson won by Decision - Split (R3)
Dodson 68%32% Munhoz
CONFIDENTMarket: 65% (+2.8% edge)
Striker vs Wrestler — Striker wins 51% historically
→Elo gap: -125(favors Munhoz)
→Striking volume advantage: -1.2(favors Munhoz)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.8(favors Munhoz)
Middleweight✓
CB Dollaway won by DQ (R1)
Dollaway 67%33% Lombard
CONFIDENT
Wrestler vs All-Rounder — Wrestler wins 59% historically
→Elo gap: +0(favors Dollaway)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.9(favors Lombard)
→Takedown rate advantage: +1.2(favors Dollaway)
Welterweight✓
Zak Ottow won by KO/TKO (R1)
Ottow 81%19% Pyle
STRONGMarket: 74% (+6.5% edge)
All-Rounder vs Knockout Artist — All-Rounder wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: +87(favors Ottow)
→Striking volume advantage: +0.7(favors Ottow)
→Takedown rate advantage: +0.3(favors Ottow)
Bantamweight✓
Cody Stamann won by Decision - Split (R3)
Stamann 59%41% Caraway
LEANMarket: 55% (+4.3% edge)
Striker vs Wrestler — Striker wins 51% historically
→Elo gap: -225(favors Caraway)
→Striking volume advantage: +2.9(favors Stamann)
→Takedown rate advantage: +3.8(favors Stamann)
Light Heavyweight✓
Jordan Johnson won by Decision - Split (R3)
Johnson 79%21% Milstead
STRONGMarket: 70% (+8.6% edge)
→Elo gap: +116(favors Johnson)
→Striking volume advantage: -1.2(favors Milstead)
→Takedown rate advantage: +3.0(favors Johnson)