UFC Fight Night: Machida vs. Anders
Saturday, February 3, 2018·Belem, Para, Brazil·11 fights
Model: 7/11(64%)
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Main Card
MiddleweightMISS
Lyoto Machida won by Decision - Split (R5)
Machida 41%59% Anders
Over/UnderOver 68%
Under 32%Over 68%
LEAN
All-Rounder vs Striker — All-Rounder wins 49% historically
→Elo gap: +147(favors Machida)
→Striking volume advantage: -3.3(favors Anders)
→Takedown rate advantage: -2.5(favors Anders)
Women's FlyweightHIT
Valentina Shevchenko won by Submission (R2)
Shevchenko 69%31% Cachoeira
Over/UnderOver 63%
Under 37%Over 63%
CONFIDENT
All-Rounder vs Striker — All-Rounder wins 49% historically
→Elo gap: +447(favors Shevchenko)
→Striking volume advantage: +2.6(favors Shevchenko)
→Takedown rate advantage: +1.7(favors Shevchenko)
LightweightHIT
Michel Prazeres won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Prazeres 65%35% Green
Over/UnderOver 56%
Under 44%Over 56%
CONFIDENT
Wrestler vs Striker — Wrestler wins 49% historically
→Elo gap: +215(favors Prazeres)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.3(favors Green)
→Takedown rate advantage: +3.9(favors Prazeres)
HeavyweightHIT
Timothy Johnson won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Johnson 57%43% Golm
Over/UnderUnder 58%
Under 58%Over 42%
LEAN
→Elo gap: -148(favors Golm)
→Striking volume advantage: -13.5(favors Golm)
→Takedown rate advantage: -5.8(favors Golm)
BantamweightMISS
Douglas Silva de Andrade won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Andrade 40%60% Vera
Over/UnderOver 52%
Under 48%Over 52%
LEAN
All-Rounder vs Wrestler — All-Rounder wins 42% historically
→Elo gap: -193(favors Vera)
→Striking volume advantage: +0.2(favors Andrade)
→Takedown rate advantage: +0.4(favors Andrade)
MiddleweightHIT
Thiago Santos won by KO/TKO (R2)
Santos 60%40% Smith
Over/UnderUnder 57%
Under 57%Over 43%
LEAN
Striker vs All-Rounder — Striker wins 51% historically
→Elo gap: +96(favors Santos)
→Striking volume advantage: +1.1(favors Santos)
→Takedown rate advantage: +0.1(favors Santos)
Prelims
WelterweightHIT
Sergio Moraes won by Decision - Split (R3)
Moraes 58%42% Means
Over/UnderOver 58%
Under 42%Over 58%
LEAN
All-Rounder vs All-Rounder — All-Rounder wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: +109(favors Moraes)
→Striking volume advantage: -2.9(favors Means)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.1(favors Means)
LightweightHIT
Alan Patrick won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Patrick 67%33% Hadzovic
Over/UnderOver 54%
Under 46%Over 54%
CONFIDENT
Wrestler vs Striker — Wrestler wins 49% historically
→Elo gap: +167(favors Patrick)
→Striking volume advantage: +0.1(favors Patrick)
→Takedown rate advantage: +3.5(favors Patrick)
Women's StrawweightHIT
Polyana Viana won by Submission (R1)
Viana 64%36% Stevenson
Over/UnderOver 54%
Under 46%Over 54%
LEAN
→Elo gap: -0(favors Stevenson)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.0(favors Stevenson)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Stevenson)
BantamweightMISS
Iuri Alcantara won by KO/TKO (R1)
Alcantara 42%58% Soto
Over/UnderUnder 51%
Under 51%Over 49%
LEAN
Wrestler vs Submission Artist — Wrestler wins 55% historically
→Elo gap: +7(favors Alcantara)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.5(favors Soto)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.6(favors Soto)
FlyweightMISS
Deiveson Figueiredo won by KO/TKO (R2)
Figueiredo 46%54% Morales
Over/UnderOver 56%
Under 44%Over 56%
TOSS-UP
→Elo gap: +124(favors Figueiredo)
→Striking volume advantage: -1.6(favors Morales)
→Takedown rate advantage: +1.8(favors Figueiredo)