UFC Fight Night: Stephens vs. Choi
Sunday, January 14, 2018·St. Louis, Missouri, USA·11 fights
Model: 10/11(91%)
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Main Card
FeatherweightHIT
Jeremy Stephens won by KO/TKO (R2)
Stephens 72%28% Choi
Over/UnderOver 58%
Under 42%Over 58%
CONFIDENT
All-Rounder vs Knockout Artist — All-Rounder wins 51% historically
→Elo gap: +1(favors Stephens)
→Striking volume advantage: -1.8(favors Choi)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.8(favors Choi)
Women's FlyweightHIT
Jessica-Rose Clark won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Clark 58%42% VanZant
Over/UnderOver 57%
Under 43%Over 57%
LEANMarket: 50% (+8.0% edge)
Striker vs All-Rounder — Striker wins 51% historically
→Elo gap: -10(favors VanZant)
→Striking volume advantage: +3.6(favors Clark)
→Takedown rate advantage: +0.7(favors Clark)
WelterweightHIT
Kamaru Usman won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Usman 90%10% Meek
Over/UnderOver 56%
Under 44%Over 56%
STRONGMarket: 85% (+4.5% edge)
→Elo gap: +498(favors Usman)
→Striking volume advantage: +0.9(favors Usman)
→Takedown rate advantage: +2.3(favors Usman)
FeatherweightHIT
Darren Elkins won by Submission (R2)
Elkins 68%32% Johnson
Over/UnderOver 60%
Under 40%Over 60%
CONFIDENTMarket: 38% (+30.4% edge)
Wrestler vs All-Rounder — Wrestler wins 58% historically
→Elo gap: +192(favors Elkins)
→Striking volume advantage: -2.0(favors Johnson)
→Takedown rate advantage: +3.9(favors Elkins)
LightweightHIT
James Krause won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Krause 55%45% White
Over/UnderOver 52%
Under 48%Over 52%
TOSS-UPMarket: 62% (-7.0% edge)
All-Rounder vs All-Rounder — All-Rounder wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: +212(favors Krause)
→Striking volume advantage: +1.3(favors Krause)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.2(favors White)
LightweightMISS
Marco Polo Reyes won by KO/TKO (R1)
Reyes 36%64% Frevola
Over/UnderOver 52%
Under 48%Over 52%
LEANMarket: 34% (+2.4% edge)
Striker vs Knockout Artist — Striker wins 44% historically
→Elo gap: +156(favors Reyes)
→Striking volume advantage: +6.3(favors Reyes)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Frevola)
Prelims
Women's BantamweightHIT
Irene Aldana won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Aldana 53%47% Bernardo
Over/UnderOver 60%
Under 40%Over 60%
TOSS-UPMarket: 63% (-10.3% edge)
→Elo gap: -91(favors Bernardo)
→Striking volume advantage: +4.9(favors Aldana)
→Takedown rate advantage: -2.5(favors Bernardo)
BantamweightHIT
Kyung Ho Kang won by Submission (R1)
Kang 68%32% Cannetti
Over/UnderOver 56%
Under 44%Over 56%
CONFIDENTMarket: 74% (-5.6% edge)
All-Rounder vs All-Rounder — All-Rounder wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: +184(favors Kang)
→Striking volume advantage: -1.0(favors Cannetti)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.9(favors Cannetti)
Women's FlyweightHIT
Jessica Eye won by Decision - Split (R3)
Eye 63%37% Faria
Over/UnderOver 50%
Under 50%Over 50%
LEANMarket: 54% (+9.2% edge)
→Elo gap: +64(favors Eye)
→Striking volume advantage: +3.4(favors Eye)
→Takedown rate advantage: +0.2(favors Eye)
Women's StrawweightHIT
JJ Aldrich won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Aldrich 55%45% Taylor
Over/UnderOver 62%
Under 38%Over 62%
TOSS-UP
→Elo gap: -48(favors Taylor)
→Striking volume advantage: +1.3(favors Aldrich)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.3(favors Taylor)
FeatherweightHIT
Mads Burnell won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Burnell 62%38% Santiago
Over/UnderOver 62%
Under 38%Over 62%
LEANMarket: 36% (+25.3% edge)
→Elo gap: +120(favors Burnell)
→Striking volume advantage: -1.7(favors Santiago)
→Takedown rate advantage: -3.2(favors Santiago)