UFC 219: Cyborg vs. Holm
Saturday, December 30, 2017·Las Vegas, Nevada, USA·10 fights
Model: 7/8(88%)
Full Preview & Analysis →✓✓✗✓✓✓✓✓
Main Card
Women's FeatherweightHIT
Cristiane Justino won by Decision - Unanimous (R5)
Justino 73%27% Holm
Over/UnderOver 72%
Under 28%Over 72%
CONFIDENT
Striker vs Striker — Striker wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: +70(favors Justino)
→Striking volume advantage: +6.1(favors Justino)
→Takedown rate advantage: +1.3(favors Justino)
LightweightHIT
Khabib Nurmagomedov won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Nurmagomedov 72%28% Barboza
Over/UnderOver 61%
Under 39%Over 61%
CONFIDENT
Wrestler vs Striker — Wrestler wins 49% historically
→Elo gap: +48(favors Nurmagomedov)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.0(favors Barboza)
→Takedown rate advantage: +7.4(favors Nurmagomedov)
LightweightMISS
Dan Hooker won by Submission (R3)
Hooker 41%59% Diakiese
Over/UnderOver 55%
Under 45%Over 55%
LEAN
All-Rounder vs Striker — All-Rounder wins 49% historically
→Elo gap: -16(favors Diakiese)
→Striking volume advantage: +0.9(favors Hooker)
→Takedown rate advantage: -3.0(favors Diakiese)
Women's StrawweightHIT
Carla Esparza won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Esparza 58%42% Calvillo
Over/UnderOver 63%
Under 37%Over 63%
LEAN
Wrestler vs All-Rounder — Wrestler wins 58% historically
→Elo gap: -195(favors Calvillo)
→Striking volume advantage: -1.4(favors Calvillo)
→Takedown rate advantage: +2.9(favors Esparza)
WelterweightHIT
Neil Magny won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Magny 58%42% Condit
Over/UnderOver 59%
Under 41%Over 59%
LEAN
Wrestler vs All-Rounder — Wrestler wins 58% historically
→Elo gap: -52(favors Condit)
→Striking volume advantage: -1.7(favors Condit)
→Takedown rate advantage: +1.6(favors Magny)
Prelims
Light Heavyweight
Jr. 49%51% Oleksiejczuk
Over/UnderUnder 64%
Under 64%Over 36%
TOSS-UP
Striker vs Striker — Striker wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: +247(favors Jr.)
→Striking volume advantage: +1.4(favors Jr.)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Oleksiejczuk)
FeatherweightHIT
Myles Jury won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Jury 68%32% Glenn
Over/UnderOver 60%
Under 40%Over 60%
CONFIDENT
Wrestler vs All-Rounder — Wrestler wins 58% historically
→Elo gap: +237(favors Jury)
→Striking volume advantage: -2.7(favors Glenn)
→Takedown rate advantage: +0.6(favors Jury)
Middleweight
Vettori 58%42% Akhmedov
Over/UnderOver 52%
Under 48%Over 52%
LEAN
All-Rounder vs Wrestler — All-Rounder wins 42% historically
→Elo gap: -67(favors Akhmedov)
→Striking volume advantage: +0.5(favors Vettori)
→Takedown rate advantage: -1.1(favors Akhmedov)
FlyweightHIT
Matheus Nicolau won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Nicolau 66%34% Smolka
Over/UnderOver 53%
Under 47%Over 53%
CONFIDENT
Knockout Artist vs Submission Artist — Knockout Artist wins 51% historically
→Elo gap: +240(favors Nicolau)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.8(favors Smolka)
→Takedown rate advantage: +0.1(favors Nicolau)
Early Prelims
BantamweightHIT
Tim Elliott won by Submission (R2)
Elliott 52%48% Rosa
Over/UnderOver 57%
Under 43%Over 57%
TOSS-UP
Wrestler vs All-Rounder — Wrestler wins 58% historically
→Elo gap: +11(favors Elliott)
→Striking volume advantage: +2.4(favors Elliott)
→Takedown rate advantage: +5.0(favors Elliott)