UFC 218: Holloway vs. Aldo 2
Saturday, December 2, 2017·Detroit, Michigan, USA
Model Record: 10/13Overall Model Accuracy: 63.4%
Featherweight✓
Max Holloway won by KO/TKO (R3)
Holloway 76%24% Aldo
STRONGMarket: 71% (+5.1% edge)
Knockout Artist vs Knockout Artist — Knockout Artist wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: +272(favors Holloway)
→Striking volume advantage: +2.8(favors Holloway)
→Takedown rate advantage: +0.4(favors Holloway)
Heavyweight✓
Francis Ngannou won by KO/TKO (R1)
Ngannou 76%24% Overeem
STRONGMarket: 68% (+8.0% edge)
Knockout Artist vs Knockout Artist — Knockout Artist wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: -365(favors Overeem)
→Striking volume advantage: +0.4(favors Ngannou)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.3(favors Overeem)
Flyweight✓
Henry Cejudo won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Cejudo 71%29% Pettis
CONFIDENTMarket: 73% (-1.8% edge)
Striker vs Striker — Striker wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: +62(favors Cejudo)
→Striking volume advantage: +0.6(favors Cejudo)
→Takedown rate advantage: +0.4(favors Cejudo)
Lightweight✗
Eddie Alvarez won by KO/TKO (R3)
Alvarez 47%53% Gaethje
TOSS-UPMarket: 38% (+8.4% edge)
Striker vs Striker — Striker wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: +188(favors Alvarez)
→Striking volume advantage: -7.3(favors Gaethje)
→Takedown rate advantage: +3.2(favors Alvarez)
Women's Strawweight✓
Tecia Pennington won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Pennington 55%45% Waterson-Gomez
TOSS-UP
Wrestler vs All-Rounder — Wrestler wins 59% historically
→Elo gap: +142(favors Pennington)
→Striking volume advantage: +0.6(favors Pennington)
→Takedown rate advantage: -2.5(favors Waterson-Gomez)
Lightweight✗
Paul Felder won by KO/TKO (R2)
Felder 41%59% Oliveira
LEANMarket: 48% (-6.7% edge)
All-Rounder vs Wrestler — All-Rounder wins 42% historically
→Elo gap: +65(favors Felder)
→Striking volume advantage: +0.8(favors Felder)
→Takedown rate advantage: -4.5(favors Oliveira)
Welterweight✗
Yancy Medeiros won by KO/TKO (R3)
Medeiros 35%65% Oliveira
LEANMarket: 28% (+7.2% edge)
Knockout Artist vs Submission Artist — Knockout Artist wins 54% historically
→Elo gap: -238(favors Oliveira)
→Striking volume advantage: +1.3(favors Medeiros)
→Takedown rate advantage: -4.2(favors Oliveira)
Lightweight✓
David Teymur won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Teymur 56%44% Klose
LEANMarket: 58% (-2.3% edge)
Striker vs Striker — Striker wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: +106(favors Teymur)
→Striking volume advantage: +2.0(favors Teymur)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.9(favors Klose)
Women's Strawweight✓
Felice Herrig won by Decision - Split (R3)
Herrig 57%43% Casey
LEANMarket: 53% (+3.9% edge)
Wrestler vs All-Rounder — Wrestler wins 59% historically
→Elo gap: +179(favors Herrig)
→Striking volume advantage: -1.8(favors Casey)
→Takedown rate advantage: +1.1(favors Herrig)
Women's Strawweight✓
Amanda Cooper won by KO/TKO (R2)
Cooper 87%13% Magana
STRONGMarket: 81% (+6.1% edge)
→Elo gap: +42(favors Cooper)
→Striking volume advantage: +1.9(favors Cooper)
→Takedown rate advantage: +0.8(favors Cooper)
Welterweight✓
Abdul Razak Alhassan won by KO/TKO (R1)
Alhassan 78%22% Homasi
STRONGMarket: 68% (+10.2% edge)
→Elo gap: +83(favors Alhassan)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.7(favors Homasi)
→Takedown rate advantage: -3.8(favors Homasi)
Light Heavyweight✓
Dominick Reyes won by Submission (R1)
Reyes 85%15% Kimball
STRONGMarket: 81% (+3.6% edge)
→Elo gap: +97(favors Reyes)
→Striking volume advantage: +21.1(favors Reyes)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Kimball)
Heavyweight✓
Justin Willis won by KO/TKO (R1)
Willis 74%26% Crowder
CONFIDENTMarket: 67% (+7.6% edge)
→Elo gap: +85(favors Willis)
→Striking volume advantage: +3.5(favors Willis)
→Takedown rate advantage: +3.0(favors Willis)