UFC Fight Night: Cerrone vs. Till
Saturday, October 21, 2017·Gdansk, Poland·11 fights
Model: 10/11(91%)
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Main Card
WelterweightHIT
Darren Till won by KO/TKO (R1)
Till 73%27% Cerrone
Over/UnderOver 51%
Under 49%Over 51%
CONFIDENTMarket: 42% (+31.5% edge)
Striker vs Knockout Artist — Striker wins 44% historically
→Elo gap: -189(favors Cerrone)
→Striking volume advantage: -2.7(favors Cerrone)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.3(favors Cerrone)
Women's StrawweightHIT
Karolina Kowalkiewicz won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Kowalkiewicz 89%11% Esquibel
Over/UnderOver 57%
Under 43%Over 57%
STRONGMarket: 81% (+7.7% edge)
→Elo gap: +189(favors Kowalkiewicz)
→Striking volume advantage: +4.5(favors Kowalkiewicz)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Esquibel)
Light HeavyweightMISS
Jan Blachowicz won by Submission (R2)
Blachowicz 39%61% Clark
Over/UnderUnder 53%
Under 53%Over 47%
LEANMarket: 42% (-3.2% edge)
All-Rounder vs Striker — All-Rounder wins 49% historically
→Elo gap: -137(favors Clark)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.5(favors Clark)
→Takedown rate advantage: -1.4(favors Clark)
MiddleweightHIT
Oskar Piechota won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Piechota 78%22% Wilson
Over/UnderUnder 53%
Under 53%Over 47%
STRONGMarket: 64% (+14.2% edge)
→Elo gap: +208(favors Piechota)
→Striking volume advantage: -4.0(favors Wilson)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.6(favors Wilson)
LightweightHIT
Marcin Held won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Held 80%20% Haqparast
Over/UnderOver 55%
Under 45%Over 55%
STRONGMarket: 77% (+3.0% edge)
→Elo gap: -238(favors Haqparast)
→Striking volume advantage: +2.1(favors Held)
→Takedown rate advantage: +3.4(favors Held)
BantamweightHIT
Brian Kelleher won by KO/TKO (R3)
Kelleher 52%48% Stasiak
Over/UnderOver 56%
Under 44%Over 56%
TOSS-UPMarket: 51% (+1.1% edge)
Wrestler vs Wrestler — Wrestler wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: -29(favors Stasiak)
→Striking volume advantage: +1.4(favors Kelleher)
→Takedown rate advantage: +0.7(favors Kelleher)
Prelims
MiddleweightHIT
Ramazan Emeev won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Emeev 54%46% Alvey
Over/UnderOver 51%
Under 49%Over 51%
TOSS-UPMarket: 60% (-5.6% edge)
Wrestler vs All-Rounder — Wrestler wins 58% historically
→Elo gap: -397(favors Alvey)
→Striking volume advantage: -3.2(favors Alvey)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Alvey)
FeatherweightHIT
Andre Fili won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Fili 71%29% Lobov
Over/UnderOver 62%
Under 38%Over 62%
CONFIDENTMarket: 62% (+9.4% edge)
Striker vs Striker — Striker wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: -73(favors Lobov)
→Striking volume advantage: +0.0(favors Fili)
→Takedown rate advantage: +0.5(favors Fili)
WelterweightHIT
Warlley Alves won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Alves 70%30% Touahri
Over/UnderOver 56%
Under 44%Over 56%
CONFIDENTMarket: 74% (-3.5% edge)
→Elo gap: +396(favors Alves)
→Striking volume advantage: +3.1(favors Alves)
→Takedown rate advantage: +0.8(favors Alves)
Women's BantamweightHIT
Aspen Ladd won by KO/TKO (R2)
Ladd 75%25% Lansberg
Over/UnderOver 60%
Under 40%Over 60%
STRONGMarket: 69% (+5.8% edge)
Wrestler vs Striker — Wrestler wins 49% historically
→Elo gap: -63(favors Lansberg)
→Striking volume advantage: -4.2(favors Lansberg)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.7(favors Lansberg)
FeatherweightHIT
Josh Emmett won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Emmett 72%28% Arantes
Over/UnderOver 58%
Under 42%Over 58%
CONFIDENTMarket: 72% (+0.3% edge)
Striker vs Wrestler — Striker wins 51% historically
→Elo gap: -86(favors Arantes)
→Striking volume advantage: +2.1(favors Emmett)
→Takedown rate advantage: +1.6(favors Emmett)