UFC Fight Night: Cerrone vs. Till
Saturday, October 21, 2017·Gdansk, Poland
Model Record: 9/11Overall Model Accuracy: 63.4%
Welterweight✓
Darren Till won by KO/TKO (R1)
Till 64%36% Cerrone
LEANMarket: 42% (+21.8% edge)
Striker vs Knockout Artist — Striker wins 46% historically
→Elo gap: -209(favors Cerrone)
→Striking volume advantage: -2.7(favors Cerrone)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.3(favors Cerrone)
Women's Strawweight✓
Karolina Kowalkiewicz won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Kowalkiewicz 87%13% Esquibel
STRONGMarket: 81% (+6.0% edge)
→Elo gap: +91(favors Kowalkiewicz)
→Striking volume advantage: +4.5(favors Kowalkiewicz)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Esquibel)
Light Heavyweight✗
Jan Blachowicz won by Submission (R2)
Blachowicz 37%63% Clark
LEANMarket: 42% (-4.3% edge)
All-Rounder vs Striker — All-Rounder wins 49% historically
→Elo gap: -114(favors Clark)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.5(favors Clark)
→Takedown rate advantage: -1.4(favors Clark)
Middleweight✓
Oskar Piechota won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Piechota 73%27% Wilson
CONFIDENTMarket: 64% (+8.6% edge)
→Elo gap: +136(favors Piechota)
→Striking volume advantage: -4.0(favors Wilson)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.6(favors Wilson)
Lightweight✓
Marcin Held won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Held 79%21% Haqparast
STRONGMarket: 77% (+1.7% edge)
→Elo gap: -188(favors Haqparast)
→Striking volume advantage: +2.1(favors Held)
→Takedown rate advantage: +3.4(favors Held)
Bantamweight✗
Brian Kelleher won by KO/TKO (R3)
Kelleher 47%53% Stasiak
TOSS-UPMarket: 51% (-3.8% edge)
Wrestler vs Wrestler — Wrestler wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: -19(favors Stasiak)
→Striking volume advantage: +1.4(favors Kelleher)
→Takedown rate advantage: +0.7(favors Kelleher)
Middleweight✓
Ramazan Emeev won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Emeev 51%49% Alvey
TOSS-UPMarket: 60% (-9.3% edge)
Wrestler vs All-Rounder — Wrestler wins 59% historically
→Elo gap: -343(favors Alvey)
→Striking volume advantage: -3.2(favors Alvey)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Alvey)
Featherweight✓
Andre Fili won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Fili 78%22% Lobov
STRONGMarket: 62% (+15.8% edge)
Striker vs Striker — Striker wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: -24(favors Lobov)
→Striking volume advantage: +0.0(favors Fili)
→Takedown rate advantage: +0.5(favors Fili)
Welterweight✓
Warlley Alves won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Alves 73%27% Touahri
CONFIDENTMarket: 74% (-1.3% edge)
→Elo gap: +205(favors Alves)
→Striking volume advantage: +3.1(favors Alves)
→Takedown rate advantage: +0.8(favors Alves)
Women's Bantamweight✓
Aspen Ladd won by KO/TKO (R2)
Ladd 76%24% Lansberg
STRONGMarket: 69% (+6.0% edge)
Wrestler vs Striker — Wrestler wins 49% historically
→Elo gap: -21(favors Lansberg)
→Striking volume advantage: -4.2(favors Lansberg)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.7(favors Lansberg)
Featherweight✓
Josh Emmett won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Emmett 69%31% Arantes
CONFIDENTMarket: 72% (-2.7% edge)
Striker vs Wrestler — Striker wins 51% historically
→Elo gap: -53(favors Arantes)
→Striking volume advantage: +2.1(favors Emmett)
→Takedown rate advantage: +1.6(favors Emmett)