UFC Fight Night: Saint Preux vs. Okami
Friday, September 22, 2017·Saitama, Saitama, Japan
Model Record: 5/10Overall Model Accuracy: 63.4%
Light Heavyweight✗
Ovince Saint Preux won by Submission (R1)
Preux 42%58% Okami
LEAN
All-Rounder vs Striker — All-Rounder wins 49% historically
→Elo gap: -62(favors Okami)
→Striking volume advantage: +0.9(favors Preux)
→Takedown rate advantage: -1.5(favors Okami)
Women's Strawweight✗
Jessica Andrade won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Andrade 31%69% Gadelha
CONFIDENTMarket: 28% (+2.7% edge)
All-Rounder vs Wrestler — All-Rounder wins 42% historically
→Elo gap: -68(favors Gadelha)
→Striking volume advantage: +2.9(favors Andrade)
→Takedown rate advantage: -2.1(favors Gadelha)
Lightweight✓
Dong Hyun Ma won by KO/TKO (R1)
Ma 73%27% Gomi
CONFIDENT
Striker vs Striker — Striker wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: +80(favors Ma)
→Striking volume advantage: -2.8(favors Gomi)
→Takedown rate advantage: +2.4(favors Ma)
Light Heavyweight✓
Gokhan Saki won by KO/TKO (R1)
Saki 50%50% Silva
TOSS-UP
→Elo gap: +171(favors Saki)
→Striking volume advantage: -4.0(favors Silva)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.4(favors Silva)
Featherweight✓
Teruto Ishihara won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Ishihara 62%38% Dy
LEANMarket: 60% (+2.4% edge)
→Elo gap: +79(favors Ishihara)
→Striking volume advantage: +1.5(favors Ishihara)
→Takedown rate advantage: -1.5(favors Dy)
Flyweight✓
Jussier Formiga won by Submission (R1)
Formiga 80%20% Sasaki
STRONGMarket: 78% (+1.6% edge)
All-Rounder vs Wrestler — All-Rounder wins 42% historically
→Elo gap: +48(favors Formiga)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.5(favors Sasaki)
→Takedown rate advantage: -1.1(favors Sasaki)
Welterweight✗
Keita Nakamura won by Decision - Split (R3)
Nakamura 45%55% Morono
TOSS-UPMarket: 46% (-0.2% edge)
Wrestler vs All-Rounder — Wrestler wins 59% historically
→Elo gap: -142(favors Morono)
→Striking volume advantage: -2.5(favors Morono)
→Takedown rate advantage: +2.7(favors Nakamura)
Women's Strawweight✗
Syuri Kondo won by Decision - Split (R3)
Kondo 36%64% Jeon
LEANMarket: 55% (-18.5% edge)
→Elo gap: +106(favors Kondo)
→Striking volume advantage: -6.1(favors Jeon)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Jeon)
Welterweight✗
Shinsho Anzai won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Anzai 31%69% Jumeau
CONFIDENTMarket: 31% (+0.1% edge)
→Elo gap: -19(favors Jumeau)
→Striking volume advantage: +0.9(favors Anzai)
→Takedown rate advantage: +3.0(favors Anzai)
Welterweight✓
Daichi Abe won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Abe 51%49% Lim
TOSS-UPMarket: 48% (+3.2% edge)
→Elo gap: +52(favors Abe)
→Striking volume advantage: -4.5(favors Lim)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.4(favors Lim)