UFC 211: Miocic vs. Dos Santos
Saturday, May 13, 2017·Dallas, Texas, USA
Model Record: 9/11Overall Model Accuracy: 63.4%
Heavyweight✓
Stipe Miocic won by KO/TKO (R1)
Miocic 68%32% Santos
CONFIDENT
Striker vs All-Rounder — Striker wins 51% historically
→Elo gap: +410(favors Miocic)
→Striking volume advantage: +0.4(favors Miocic)
→Takedown rate advantage: +1.8(favors Miocic)
Women's Strawweight✓
Joanna Jedrzejczyk won by Decision - Unanimous (R5)
Jedrzejczyk 59%41% Andrade
LEANMarket: 64% (-4.7% edge)
Striker vs All-Rounder — Striker wins 51% historically
→Elo gap: +196(favors Jedrzejczyk)
→Striking volume advantage: +0.7(favors Jedrzejczyk)
→Takedown rate advantage: -2.8(favors Andrade)
Welterweight✓
Demian Maia won by Decision - Split (R3)
Maia 65%35% Masvidal
LEANMarket: 47% (+17.4% edge)
Wrestler vs All-Rounder — Wrestler wins 59% historically
→Elo gap: +119(favors Maia)
→Striking volume advantage: -3.5(favors Masvidal)
→Takedown rate advantage: +2.4(favors Maia)
Featherweight✓
Frankie Edgar won by KO/TKO (R2)
Edgar 54%46% Rodriguez
TOSS-UPMarket: 54% (-0.1% edge)
Wrestler vs All-Rounder — Wrestler wins 59% historically
→Elo gap: +214(favors Edgar)
→Striking volume advantage: -1.2(favors Rodriguez)
→Takedown rate advantage: +1.4(favors Edgar)
Middleweight✗
David Branch won by Decision - Split (R3)
Branch 40%60% Jotko
LEANMarket: 41% (-0.9% edge)
Striker vs Striker — Striker wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: -335(favors Jotko)
→Striking volume advantage: -2.4(favors Jotko)
→Takedown rate advantage: +0.9(favors Branch)
Lightweight
Alvarez 41%59% Poirier
LEANMarket: 47% (-5.5% edge)
Striker vs Submission Artist — Striker wins 48% historically
→Elo gap: -283(favors Poirier)
→Striking volume advantage: -3.3(favors Poirier)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.6(favors Poirier)
Featherweight✓
Jason Knight won by KO/TKO (R3)
Knight 66%34% Skelly
CONFIDENTMarket: 49% (+16.9% edge)
Knockout Artist vs Wrestler — Knockout Artist wins 49% historically
→Elo gap: -117(favors Skelly)
→Striking volume advantage: +1.1(favors Knight)
→Takedown rate advantage: +0.4(favors Knight)
Heavyweight✓
Chase Sherman won by KO/TKO (R2)
Sherman 63%37% Coulter
LEANMarket: 51% (+12.7% edge)
→Elo gap: -223(favors Coulter)
→Striking volume advantage: +3.5(favors Sherman)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Coulter)
Lightweight✓
James Vick won by KO/TKO (R1)
Vick 92%8% Reyes
STRONGMarket: 78% (+13.6% edge)
Wrestler vs Striker — Wrestler wins 49% historically
→Elo gap: +159(favors Vick)
→Striking volume advantage: -2.8(favors Reyes)
→Takedown rate advantage: +0.3(favors Vick)
Women's Strawweight✓
Cortney Casey won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Casey 74%26% Aguilar
CONFIDENTMarket: 58% (+16.0% edge)
→Elo gap: +99(favors Casey)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.9(favors Aguilar)
→Takedown rate advantage: +0.6(favors Casey)
Featherweight✗
Enrique Barzola won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Barzola 47%53% Benitez
TOSS-UPMarket: 43% (+3.7% edge)
Wrestler vs All-Rounder — Wrestler wins 59% historically
→Elo gap: -54(favors Benitez)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.1(favors Benitez)
→Takedown rate advantage: +4.3(favors Barzola)
Light Heavyweight✓
Gadzhimurad Antigulov won by Submission (R1)
Antigulov 81%19% Christensen
STRONGMarket: 78% (+2.9% edge)
→Elo gap: +84(favors Antigulov)
→Striking volume advantage: -4.2(favors Christensen)
→Takedown rate advantage: +13.4(favors Antigulov)