UFC Fight Night: Bermudez vs. The Korean Zombie
Saturday, February 4, 2017·Houston, Texas, USA·12 fights
Model: 5/10(50%)
Full Preview & Analysis →✗✗✓✗✗✓✓✗✓✓
Main Card
FeatherweightMISS
Chan Sung Jung won by KO/TKO (R1)
Jung 49%51% Bermudez
Over/UnderOver 58%
Under 42%Over 58%
TOSS-UPMarket: 37% (+11.9% edge)
All-Rounder vs Wrestler — All-Rounder wins 42% historically
→Elo gap: +73(favors Jung)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.9(favors Bermudez)
→Takedown rate advantage: -1.7(favors Bermudez)
Women's StrawweightMISS
Felice Herrig won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Herrig 33%67% Grasso
Over/UnderOver 58%
Under 42%Over 58%
CONFIDENTMarket: 26% (+7.1% edge)
All-Rounder vs All-Rounder — All-Rounder wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: +19(favors Herrig)
→Striking volume advantage: -2.4(favors Grasso)
→Takedown rate advantage: +0.2(favors Herrig)
LightweightHIT
James Vick won by Submission (R3)
Vick 69%31% Trujillo
Over/UnderOver 52%
Under 48%Over 52%
CONFIDENTMarket: 52% (+16.9% edge)
All-Rounder vs All-Rounder — All-Rounder wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: -25(favors Trujillo)
→Striking volume advantage: +2.3(favors Vick)
→Takedown rate advantage: -2.0(favors Trujillo)
Light HeavyweightMISS
Volkan Oezdemir won by Decision - Split (R3)
Oezdemir 44%56% Preux
Over/UnderUnder 56%
Under 56%Over 44%
LEAN
All-Rounder vs All-Rounder — All-Rounder wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: -304(favors Preux)
→Striking volume advantage: -2.6(favors Preux)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.7(favors Preux)
HeavyweightMISS
Marcel Fortuna won by KO/TKO (R1)
Fortuna 47%53% Hamilton
Over/UnderUnder 51%
Under 51%Over 49%
TOSS-UPMarket: 35% (+12.2% edge)
→Elo gap: -39(favors Hamilton)
→Striking volume advantage: -4.1(favors Hamilton)
→Takedown rate advantage: -1.8(favors Hamilton)
Women's StrawweightHIT
Jessica Andrade won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Andrade 92%8% Hill
Over/UnderOver 58%
Under 42%Over 58%
STRONGMarket: 82% (+9.4% edge)
Wrestler vs All-Rounder — Wrestler wins 58% historically
→Elo gap: +548(favors Andrade)
→Striking volume advantage: +1.5(favors Andrade)
→Takedown rate advantage: +3.4(favors Andrade)
Prelims
Heavyweight
Milstead 28%72% Blaydes
Over/UnderUnder 62%
Under 62%Over 38%
CONFIDENTMarket: 26% (+1.6% edge)
→Elo gap: -1051(favors Blaydes)
→Striking volume advantage: +2.0(favors Milstead)
→Takedown rate advantage: -6.2(favors Blaydes)
FeatherweightHIT
Chas Skelly won by Submission (R2)
Skelly 53%47% Gruetzemacher
Over/UnderOver 63%
Under 37%Over 63%
TOSS-UPMarket: 73% (-20.9% edge)
Submission Artist vs Striker — Submission Artist wins 52% historically
→Elo gap: +251(favors Skelly)
→Striking volume advantage: -5.0(favors Gruetzemacher)
→Takedown rate advantage: +1.9(favors Skelly)
BantamweightMISS
Ricardo Ramos won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Ramos 46%54% Tanaka
Over/UnderOver 57%
Under 43%Over 57%
TOSS-UPMarket: 43% (+2.4% edge)
→Elo gap: +1(favors Ramos)
→Striking volume advantage: -2.0(favors Tanaka)
→Takedown rate advantage: -2.5(favors Tanaka)
Women's StrawweightHIT
Tecia Pennington won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Pennington 85%15% Rawlings
Over/UnderOver 60%
Under 40%Over 60%
STRONGMarket: 78% (+6.9% edge)
All-Rounder vs All-Rounder — All-Rounder wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: +280(favors Pennington)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.3(favors Rawlings)
→Takedown rate advantage: +0.4(favors Pennington)
Welterweight
Morono 44%56% Price
Over/UnderOver 53%
Under 47%Over 53%
LEANMarket: 49% (-5.2% edge)
All-Rounder vs All-Rounder — All-Rounder wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: +54(favors Morono)
→Striking volume advantage: +3.8(favors Morono)
→Takedown rate advantage: -3.3(favors Price)
Light HeavyweightHIT
Khalil Rountree Jr. won by KO/TKO (R1)
Jr. 77%23% Jolly
Over/UnderUnder 56%
Under 56%Over 44%
STRONG
→Elo gap: -44(favors Jolly)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.4(favors Jolly)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Jolly)