UFC Fight Night: Edwards vs. Brady
Saturday, March 22, 2025·London, England, United Kingdom
Model Record: 8/13Overall Model Accuracy: 63.4%
Welterweight✗
Sean Brady won by Submission (R4)
Brady 38%62% Edwards
LEAN
Wrestler vs All-Rounder — Wrestler wins 59% historically
→Elo gap: -304(favors Edwards)
→Striking volume advantage: +0.6(favors Brady)
→Takedown rate advantage: +2.5(favors Brady)
Light Heavyweight✓
Carlos Ulberg won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Ulberg 62%38% Blachowicz
LEAN
Knockout Artist vs All-Rounder — Knockout Artist wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: -118(favors Blachowicz)
→Striking volume advantage: +2.7(favors Ulberg)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.7(favors Blachowicz)
Welterweight✗
Kevin Holland won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Holland 41%59% Nelson
LEAN
All-Rounder vs Wrestler — All-Rounder wins 42% historically
→Elo gap: -308(favors Nelson)
→Striking volume advantage: +3.2(favors Holland)
→Takedown rate advantage: -1.5(favors Nelson)
Women's Strawweight✓
Alexia Thainara won by Submission (R1)
Thainara 55%45% McCann
LEAN
→Elo gap: +81(favors Thainara)
→Striking volume advantage: -3.8(favors McCann)
→Takedown rate advantage: -2.0(favors McCann)
Lightweight✓
Chris Duncan won by Submission (R2)
Duncan 54%46% Vucenic
TOSS-UP
→Elo gap: +272(favors Duncan)
→Striking volume advantage: +1.9(favors Duncan)
→Takedown rate advantage: +3.4(favors Duncan)
Featherweight✗
Nathaniel Wood won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Wood 44%56% Charriere
LEAN
All-Rounder vs All-Rounder — All-Rounder wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: +77(favors Wood)
→Striking volume advantage: +1.4(favors Wood)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.7(favors Charriere)
Lightweight✓
Chris Padilla won by Decision - Split (R3)
Padilla 72%28% Herbert
CONFIDENT
→Elo gap: +132(favors Padilla)
→Striking volume advantage: +2.3(favors Padilla)
→Takedown rate advantage: +2.6(favors Padilla)
Flyweight✓
Lone'er Kavanagh won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Kavanagh 58%42% Santos
LEAN
→Elo gap: +121(favors Kavanagh)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.5(favors Santos)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Santos)
Heavyweight✗
Marcin Tybura won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Tybura 44%56% Parkin
LEAN
→Elo gap: +137(favors Tybura)
→Striking volume advantage: -1.7(favors Parkin)
→Takedown rate advantage: +0.5(favors Tybura)
Middleweight✓
Christian Leroy Duncan won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Duncan 58%42% Pulyaev
LEAN
→Elo gap: +131(favors Duncan)
→Striking volume advantage: +4.7(favors Duncan)
→Takedown rate advantage: +0.3(favors Duncan)
Women's Strawweight✓
Shauna Bannon won by Submission (R2)
Bannon 59%41% Tomar
LEAN
→Elo gap: -85(favors Tomar)
→Striking volume advantage: -2.0(favors Tomar)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Tomar)
Bantamweight✗
Caolan Loughran won by Decision - Split (R3)
Loughran 39%61% Fletcher
LEAN
→Elo gap: -168(favors Fletcher)
→Striking volume advantage: +3.4(favors Loughran)
→Takedown rate advantage: -7.6(favors Fletcher)
Lightweight✓
Kaue Fernandes won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Fernandes 66%34% Kutateladze
CONFIDENT
→Elo gap: +15(favors Fernandes)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.9(favors Kutateladze)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Kutateladze)