UFC Fight Night: Edwards vs. Brady
Saturday, March 22, 2025·London, England, United Kingdom·13 fights
Model: 9/13(69%)
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Main Card
WelterweightHIT
Sean Brady won by Submission (R4)
Brady 55%45% Edwards
Over/UnderOver 66%
Under 34%Over 66%
TOSS-UPMarket: 54% (+0.2% edge)
Wrestler vs All-Rounder — Wrestler wins 58% historically
→Elo gap: -212(favors Edwards)
→Striking volume advantage: +0.6(favors Brady)
→Takedown rate advantage: +2.5(favors Brady)
Light HeavyweightHIT
Carlos Ulberg won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Ulberg 82%18% Blachowicz
Over/UnderUnder 56%
Under 56%Over 44%
STRONGMarket: 73% (+9.2% edge)
Knockout Artist vs All-Rounder — Knockout Artist wins 49% historically
→Elo gap: -135(favors Blachowicz)
→Striking volume advantage: +2.7(favors Ulberg)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.7(favors Blachowicz)
WelterweightHIT
Kevin Holland won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Holland 59%41% Nelson
Over/UnderOver 54%
Under 46%Over 54%
LEANMarket: 45% (+13.5% edge)
All-Rounder vs Wrestler — All-Rounder wins 42% historically
→Elo gap: -219(favors Nelson)
→Striking volume advantage: +3.2(favors Holland)
→Takedown rate advantage: -1.5(favors Nelson)
Women's StrawweightHIT
Alexia Thainara won by Submission (R1)
Thainara 70%30% McCann
Over/UnderOver 64%
Under 36%Over 64%
CONFIDENTMarket: 66% (+4.3% edge)
→Elo gap: +60(favors Thainara)
→Striking volume advantage: -3.8(favors McCann)
→Takedown rate advantage: -2.0(favors McCann)
LightweightMISS
Chris Duncan won by Submission (R2)
Duncan 38%62% Vucenic
Over/UnderOver 51%
Under 49%Over 51%
LEANMarket: 26% (+11.6% edge)
→Elo gap: +429(favors Duncan)
→Striking volume advantage: +1.9(favors Duncan)
→Takedown rate advantage: +3.4(favors Duncan)
FeatherweightMISS
Nathaniel Wood won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Wood 49%51% Charriere
Over/UnderOver 59%
Under 41%Over 59%
TOSS-UPMarket: 49% (+0.1% edge)
All-Rounder vs All-Rounder — All-Rounder wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: +58(favors Wood)
→Striking volume advantage: +1.4(favors Wood)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.7(favors Charriere)
Prelims
LightweightHIT
Chris Padilla won by Decision - Split (R3)
Padilla 62%38% Herbert
Over/UnderOver 54%
Under 46%Over 54%
LEANMarket: 47% (+15.5% edge)
→Elo gap: +195(favors Padilla)
→Striking volume advantage: +2.3(favors Padilla)
→Takedown rate advantage: +2.6(favors Padilla)
FlyweightHIT
Lone'er Kavanagh won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Kavanagh 72%28% Santos
Over/UnderOver 58%
Under 42%Over 58%
CONFIDENTMarket: 69% (+2.3% edge)
→Elo gap: +171(favors Kavanagh)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.5(favors Santos)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Santos)
HeavyweightMISS
Marcin Tybura won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Tybura 42%58% Parkin
Over/UnderUnder 56%
Under 56%Over 44%
LEANMarket: 40% (+2.6% edge)
→Elo gap: +130(favors Tybura)
→Striking volume advantage: -1.7(favors Parkin)
→Takedown rate advantage: +0.5(favors Tybura)
MiddleweightHIT
Christian Leroy Duncan won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Duncan 83%17% Pulyaev
Over/UnderUnder 62%
Under 62%Over 38%
STRONGMarket: 78% (+4.8% edge)
→Elo gap: +210(favors Duncan)
→Striking volume advantage: +4.7(favors Duncan)
→Takedown rate advantage: +0.3(favors Duncan)
Women's StrawweightHIT
Shauna Bannon won by Submission (R2)
Bannon 69%31% Tomar
Over/UnderOver 62%
Under 38%Over 62%
CONFIDENTMarket: 64% (+5.4% edge)
→Elo gap: -125(favors Tomar)
→Striking volume advantage: -2.0(favors Tomar)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Tomar)
BantamweightMISS
Caolan Loughran won by Decision - Split (R3)
Loughran 30%70% Fletcher
Over/UnderOver 54%
Under 46%Over 54%
CONFIDENTMarket: 42% (-12.8% edge)
→Elo gap: -240(favors Fletcher)
→Striking volume advantage: +3.4(favors Loughran)
→Takedown rate advantage: -7.6(favors Fletcher)
LightweightHIT
Kaue Fernandes won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Fernandes 63%37% Kutateladze
Over/UnderOver 59%
Under 41%Over 59%
LEAN
→Elo gap: -6(favors Kutateladze)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.9(favors Kutateladze)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Kutateladze)