UFC Fight Night: Vettori vs. Dolidze 2
Saturday, March 15, 2025·Las Vegas, Nevada, USA
Model Record: 9/13Overall Model Accuracy: 63.4%
Middleweight✗
Roman Dolidze won by Decision - Unanimous (R5)
Dolidze 40%60% Vettori
LEAN
All-Rounder vs All-Rounder — All-Rounder wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: -27(favors Vettori)
→Striking volume advantage: -1.5(favors Vettori)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.4(favors Vettori)
Welterweight✓
Chidi Njokuani won by KO/TKO (R2)
Njokuani 50%50% Santos
TOSS-UP
Striker vs All-Rounder — Striker wins 51% historically
→Elo gap: -241(favors Santos)
→Striking volume advantage: +0.1(favors Njokuani)
→Takedown rate advantage: -1.0(favors Santos)
Lightweight✓
Alexander Hernandez won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Hernandez 69%31% Holobaugh
CONFIDENT
All-Rounder vs All-Rounder — All-Rounder wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: +106(favors Hernandez)
→Striking volume advantage: +0.5(favors Hernandez)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.4(favors Holobaugh)
Bantamweight✓
Da'Mon Blackshear won by Submission (R2)
Blackshear 66%34% Gibson
CONFIDENT
Submission Artist vs All-Rounder — Submission Artist wins 56% historically
→Elo gap: +137(favors Blackshear)
→Striking volume advantage: +2.3(favors Blackshear)
→Takedown rate advantage: +1.4(favors Blackshear)
Light Heavyweight✓
Brendson Ribeiro won by Submission (R2)
Ribeiro 57%43% Nurgozhay
LEAN
→Elo gap: -101(favors Nurgozhay)
→Striking volume advantage: +2.5(favors Ribeiro)
→Takedown rate advantage: +1.4(favors Ribeiro)
Featherweight✓
Kevin Vallejos won by KO/TKO (R1)
Vallejos 55%45% Choi
TOSS-UP
→Elo gap: +81(favors Vallejos)
→Striking volume advantage: -3.8(favors Choi)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.7(favors Choi)
Heavyweight✓
Waldo Cortes Acosta won by KO/TKO (R2)
Acosta 51%49% Spann
TOSS-UP
All-Rounder vs Wrestler — All-Rounder wins 42% historically
→Elo gap: +58(favors Acosta)
→Striking volume advantage: +2.3(favors Acosta)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.3(favors Spann)
Bantamweight✓
SuYoung You won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
You 68%32% Cunningham
CONFIDENT
→Elo gap: +147(favors You)
→Striking volume advantage: -5.0(favors Cunningham)
→Takedown rate advantage: +2.0(favors You)
Bantamweight✗
Carlos Vera won by Submission (R1)
Vera 36%64% Musasa
LEAN
→Elo gap: -50(favors Musasa)
→Striking volume advantage: +0.8(favors Vera)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Musasa)
Women's Strawweight✗
Sam Hughes won by Decision - Split (R3)
Hughes 43%57% Luciano
LEAN
→Elo gap: -51(favors Luciano)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.2(favors Luciano)
→Takedown rate advantage: +1.0(favors Hughes)
Flyweight✓
Andre Lima won by Submission (R3)
Lima 68%32% Barez
CONFIDENT
→Elo gap: +171(favors Lima)
→Striking volume advantage: -2.0(favors Barez)
→Takedown rate advantage: +1.2(favors Lima)
Women's Bantamweight✗
Priscila Cachoeira won by KO/TKO (R1)
Cachoeira 27%73% Nunes
CONFIDENT
Striker vs Striker — Striker wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: -110(favors Nunes)
→Striking volume advantage: -1.7(favors Nunes)
→Takedown rate advantage: +0.3(favors Cachoeira)
Women's Flyweight✓
Carli Judice won by KO/TKO (R1)
Judice 62%38% Duben
LEAN
→Elo gap: -100(favors Duben)
→Striking volume advantage: +11.3(favors Judice)
→Takedown rate advantage: +2.0(favors Judice)