UFC Fight Night: Cyborg vs. Lansberg
Saturday, September 24, 2016·Brasilia, Distrito Federal, Brazil
Model Record: 6/13Overall Model Accuracy: 63.4%
Catch WeightHIT
Cristiane Justino won by KO/TKO (R2)
Justino 93%7% Lansberg
STRONGMarket: 90% (+2.9% edge)
Striker vs Striker — Striker wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: +123(favors Justino)
→Striking volume advantage: +19.3(favors Justino)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Lansberg)
FeatherweightHIT
Renan Barao won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Barao 89%11% Nover
STRONGMarket: 80% (+8.1% edge)
All-Rounder vs Wrestler — All-Rounder wins 42% historically
→Elo gap: +447(favors Barao)
→Striking volume advantage: +2.3(favors Barao)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.6(favors Nover)
HeavyweightHIT
Roy Nelson won by KO/TKO (R2)
Nelson 86%14% Silva
STRONGMarket: 80% (+6.4% edge)
Striker vs Striker — Striker wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: +193(favors Nelson)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.3(favors Silva)
→Takedown rate advantage: +2.3(favors Nelson)
LightweightHIT
Francisco Trinaldo won by KO/TKO (R3)
Trinaldo 62%38% Felder
LEANMarket: 53% (+9.3% edge)
All-Rounder vs All-Rounder — All-Rounder wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: +249(favors Trinaldo)
→Striking volume advantage: +1.2(favors Trinaldo)
→Takedown rate advantage: +1.0(favors Trinaldo)
MiddleweightMISS
Eric Spicely won by Submission (R1)
Spicely 20%80% Santos
STRONGMarket: 16% (+4.0% edge)
Wrestler vs Striker — Wrestler wins 49% historically
→Elo gap: -335(favors Santos)
→Striking volume advantage: -1.2(favors Santos)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.6(favors Santos)
FeatherweightMISS
Godofredo Pepey won by Submission (R1)
Pepey 42%58% Torre
LEANMarket: 54% (-11.4% edge)
Submission Artist vs Striker — Submission Artist wins 52% historically
→Elo gap: +62(favors Pepey)
→Striking volume advantage: -2.3(favors Torre)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.4(favors Torre)
LightweightMISS
Michel Prazeres won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Prazeres 40%60% Burns
LEANMarket: 32% (+8.2% edge)
Wrestler vs Wrestler — Wrestler wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: -58(favors Burns)
→Striking volume advantage: +0.1(favors Prazeres)
→Takedown rate advantage: +2.0(favors Prazeres)
BantamweightMISS
Rani Yahya won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Yahya 42%58% Tanaka
LEANMarket: 53% (-11.0% edge)
→Elo gap: +179(favors Yahya)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.4(favors Tanaka)
→Takedown rate advantage: +0.5(favors Yahya)
FlyweightHIT
Jussier Formiga won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Formiga 54%46% Ortiz
TOSS-UPMarket: 63% (-8.9% edge)
All-Rounder vs Wrestler — All-Rounder wins 42% historically
→Elo gap: +87(favors Formiga)
→Striking volume advantage: -2.1(favors Ortiz)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.2(favors Ortiz)
WelterweightMISS
Erick Silva won by Submission (R3)
Silva 34%66% Chagas
CONFIDENTMarket: 45% (-10.1% edge)
→Elo gap: +11(favors Silva)
→Striking volume advantage: -1.0(favors Chagas)
→Takedown rate advantage: +1.5(favors Silva)
LightweightMISS
Alan Patrick won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Patrick 46%54% Ray
TOSS-UPMarket: 40% (+6.3% edge)
Wrestler vs All-Rounder — Wrestler wins 59% historically
→Elo gap: -58(favors Ray)
→Striking volume advantage: -1.6(favors Ray)
→Takedown rate advantage: +2.4(favors Patrick)
WelterweightHIT
Vicente Luque won by KO/TKO (R1)
Luque 87%13% Urbina
STRONGMarket: 81% (+6.0% edge)
→Elo gap: +180(favors Luque)
→Striking volume advantage: +1.7(favors Luque)
→Takedown rate advantage: +2.3(favors Luque)
LightweightMISS
Gregor Gillespie won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Gillespie 33%67% Moreira
CONFIDENT
→Elo gap: -73(favors Moreira)
→Striking volume advantage: -2.1(favors Moreira)
→Takedown rate advantage: -4.0(favors Moreira)