The Ultimate Fighter: Team Joanna vs. Team Cláudia Finale
Friday, July 8, 2016·Las Vegas, Nevada, USA
Model Record: 9/12Overall Model Accuracy: 63.4%
Women's StrawweightHIT
Joanna Jedrzejczyk won by Decision - Unanimous (R5)
Jedrzejczyk 53%47% Gadelha
TOSS-UPMarket: 53% (-0.4% edge)
Striker vs All-Rounder — Striker wins 51% historically
→Elo gap: +285(favors Jedrzejczyk)
→Striking volume advantage: +1.5(favors Jedrzejczyk)
→Takedown rate advantage: -5.3(favors Gadelha)
Light HeavyweightMISS
Andrew Sanchez won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Sanchez 42%58% Jr.
LEAN
Striker vs Striker — Striker wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: -0(favors Jr.)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.0(favors Jr.)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Jr.)
Women's StrawweightHIT
Tatiana Suarez won by Submission (R1)
Suarez 87%13% Cooper
STRONGMarket: 77% (+9.6% edge)
Wrestler vs Wrestler — Wrestler wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: -0(favors Cooper)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.0(favors Cooper)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Cooper)
LightweightHIT
Will Brooks won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Brooks 83%17% Pearson
STRONGMarket: 77% (+5.6% edge)
→Elo gap: -199(favors Pearson)
→Striking volume advantage: -2.8(favors Pearson)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.7(favors Pearson)
FeatherweightHIT
Dooho Choi won by KO/TKO (R1)
Choi 62%38% Tavares
LEAN
Knockout Artist vs Wrestler — Knockout Artist wins 49% historically
→Elo gap: -16(favors Tavares)
→Striking volume advantage: +12.3(favors Choi)
→Takedown rate advantage: -5.7(favors Tavares)
LightweightHIT
Joaquim Silva won by KO/TKO (R1)
Silva 56%44% Holbrook
LEANMarket: 53% (+3.0% edge)
→Elo gap: -3(favors Holbrook)
→Striking volume advantage: +1.9(favors Silva)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Holbrook)
FeatherweightMISS
Gray Maynard won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Maynard 45%55% Bruno
LEANMarket: 60% (-15.3% edge)
→Elo gap: +67(favors Maynard)
→Striking volume advantage: +0.7(favors Maynard)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.3(favors Bruno)
FlyweightHIT
Matheus Nicolau won by Decision - Split (R3)
Nicolau 68%32% Moraga
CONFIDENTMarket: 40% (+27.5% edge)
Knockout Artist vs Wrestler — Knockout Artist wins 49% historically
→Elo gap: -78(favors Moraga)
→Striking volume advantage: +0.9(favors Nicolau)
→Takedown rate advantage: +3.1(favors Nicolau)
Light HeavyweightMISS
Josh Stansbury won by Decision - Majority (R3)
Stansbury 43%57% Hendricks
LEANMarket: 56% (-13.6% edge)
→Elo gap: -0(favors Hendricks)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.0(favors Hendricks)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Hendricks)
MiddleweightHIT
Cezar Ferreira won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Ferreira 53%47% Smith
TOSS-UPMarket: 44% (+9.5% edge)
All-Rounder vs All-Rounder — All-Rounder wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: +64(favors Ferreira)
→Striking volume advantage: -1.9(favors Smith)
→Takedown rate advantage: +0.6(favors Ferreira)
LightweightHIT
Kevin Lee won by KO/TKO (R1)
Lee 55%45% Matthews
LEANMarket: 44% (+11.6% edge)
Wrestler vs Wrestler — Wrestler wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: -135(favors Matthews)
→Striking volume advantage: +0.5(favors Lee)
→Takedown rate advantage: +0.8(favors Lee)
WelterweightHIT
Li Jingliang won by KO/TKO (R1)
Jingliang 73%27% Zafir
CONFIDENTMarket: 74% (-1.7% edge)
→Elo gap: +37(favors Jingliang)
→Striking volume advantage: +0.8(favors Jingliang)
→Takedown rate advantage: -1.5(favors Zafir)