UFC 199: Rockhold vs. Bisping 2
Saturday, June 4, 2016·Los Angeles, California, USA
Model Record: 7/12Overall Model Accuracy: 63.4%
Middleweight✗
Michael Bisping won by KO/TKO (R1)
Bisping 22%78% Rockhold
STRONGMarket: 16% (+6.3% edge)
Striker vs Submission Artist — Striker wins 48% historically
→Elo gap: -272(favors Rockhold)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.4(favors Rockhold)
→Takedown rate advantage: -1.2(favors Rockhold)
Bantamweight✓
Dominick Cruz won by Decision - Unanimous (R5)
Cruz 90%10% Faber
STRONGMarket: 79% (+10.8% edge)
Striker vs Wrestler — Striker wins 51% historically
→Elo gap: +38(favors Cruz)
→Striking volume advantage: +1.0(favors Cruz)
→Takedown rate advantage: +2.2(favors Cruz)
Featherweight✓
Max Holloway won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Holloway 83%17% Lamas
STRONGMarket: 72% (+10.8% edge)
Knockout Artist vs All-Rounder — Knockout Artist wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: +233(favors Holloway)
→Striking volume advantage: +2.4(favors Holloway)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.9(favors Lamas)
Middleweight✗
Dan Henderson won by KO/TKO (R2)
Henderson 27%73% Lombard
CONFIDENTMarket: 24% (+2.7% edge)
Striker vs Striker — Striker wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: -22(favors Lombard)
→Striking volume advantage: -1.7(favors Lombard)
→Takedown rate advantage: -2.1(favors Lombard)
Lightweight✓
Dustin Poirier won by KO/TKO (R1)
Poirier 72%28% Green
CONFIDENTMarket: 62% (+10.2% edge)
Knockout Artist vs All-Rounder — Knockout Artist wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: +170(favors Poirier)
→Striking volume advantage: +2.0(favors Poirier)
→Takedown rate advantage: +1.6(favors Poirier)
Featherweight✓
Brian Ortega won by KO/TKO (R3)
Ortega 68%32% Guida
CONFIDENTMarket: 69% (-1.4% edge)
All-Rounder vs Wrestler — All-Rounder wins 42% historically
→Elo gap: +236(favors Ortega)
→Striking volume advantage: +0.2(favors Ortega)
→Takedown rate advantage: -2.5(favors Guida)
Lightweight✗
Beneil Dariush won by KO/TKO (R1)
Dariush 49%51% Vick
TOSS-UPMarket: 58% (-8.9% edge)
Wrestler vs All-Rounder — Wrestler wins 59% historically
→Elo gap: -51(favors Vick)
→Striking volume advantage: -1.2(favors Vick)
→Takedown rate advantage: +1.8(favors Dariush)
Women's Strawweight✓
Jessica Andrade won by KO/TKO (R2)
Andrade 69%31% Penne
CONFIDENTMarket: 51% (+18.1% edge)
Wrestler vs All-Rounder — Wrestler wins 59% historically
→Elo gap: -38(favors Penne)
→Striking volume advantage: +1.7(favors Andrade)
→Takedown rate advantage: +1.5(favors Andrade)
Featherweight✓
Alex Caceres won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Caceres 52%48% Miller
TOSS-UPMarket: 38% (+14.1% edge)
All-Rounder vs Wrestler — All-Rounder wins 42% historically
→Elo gap: -90(favors Miller)
→Striking volume advantage: +0.5(favors Caceres)
→Takedown rate advantage: +0.5(favors Caceres)
Welterweight✓
Sean Strickland won by Decision - Split (R3)
Strickland 61%39% Breese
LEANMarket: 48% (+12.6% edge)
All-Rounder vs All-Rounder — All-Rounder wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: +13(favors Strickland)
→Striking volume advantage: +0.9(favors Strickland)
→Takedown rate advantage: +1.9(favors Strickland)
Light Heavyweight✗
Henrique da Silva won by KO/TKO (R2)
Silva 46%54% Wilson
TOSS-UP
→Elo gap: -120(favors Wilson)
→Striking volume advantage: -4.8(favors Wilson)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Wilson)
Middleweight
Casey 49%51% Mutapcic
TOSS-UPMarket: 44% (+4.8% edge)
→Elo gap: +9(favors Casey)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.2(favors Mutapcic)
→Takedown rate advantage: +0.4(favors Casey)
Lightweight✗
Marco Polo Reyes won by KO/TKO (R3)
Reyes 45%55% Ma
LEANMarket: 51% (-5.9% edge)
Striker vs Striker — Striker wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: +288(favors Reyes)
→Striking volume advantage: +0.9(favors Reyes)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Ma)