UFC on FOX: Teixeira vs Evans
Saturday, April 16, 2016·Tampa, Florida, USA
Model Record: 6/11Overall Model Accuracy: 63.4%
Light Heavyweight✓
Glover Teixeira won by KO/TKO (R1)
Teixeira 54%46% Evans
TOSS-UPMarket: 65% (-11.3% edge)
All-Rounder vs Striker — All-Rounder wins 49% historically
→Elo gap: +18(favors Teixeira)
→Striking volume advantage: +0.9(favors Teixeira)
→Takedown rate advantage: +1.1(favors Teixeira)
Women's Strawweight✗
Rose Namajunas won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Namajunas 39%61% Pennington
LEANMarket: 62% (-23.6% edge)
All-Rounder vs All-Rounder — All-Rounder wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: -9(favors Pennington)
→Striking volume advantage: -1.9(favors Pennington)
→Takedown rate advantage: +3.1(favors Namajunas)
Catch Weight✓
Khabib Nurmagomedov won by KO/TKO (R2)
Nurmagomedov 90%10% Horcher
STRONGMarket: 88% (+1.8% edge)
→Elo gap: +528(favors Nurmagomedov)
→Striking volume advantage: +2.6(favors Nurmagomedov)
→Takedown rate advantage: +7.8(favors Nurmagomedov)
Featherweight✗
Cub Swanson won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Swanson 43%57% Dias
LEANMarket: 51% (-8.4% edge)
Striker vs Wrestler — Striker wins 51% historically
→Elo gap: +121(favors Swanson)
→Striking volume advantage: +1.2(favors Swanson)
→Takedown rate advantage: -2.7(favors Dias)
Lightweight✗
Michael Chiesa won by Submission (R2)
Chiesa 44%56% Dariush
LEANMarket: 39% (+4.8% edge)
Wrestler vs Wrestler — Wrestler wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: -169(favors Dariush)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.6(favors Dariush)
→Takedown rate advantage: +0.9(favors Chiesa)
Women's Bantamweight✓
Raquel Pennington won by Decision - Split (R3)
Pennington 66%34% Correia
CONFIDENTMarket: 66% (+0.1% edge)
Wrestler vs Striker — Wrestler wins 49% historically
→Elo gap: -16(favors Correia)
→Striking volume advantage: -2.1(favors Correia)
→Takedown rate advantage: +1.1(favors Pennington)
Welterweight✓
Santiago Ponzinibbio won by KO/TKO (R1)
Ponzinibbio 53%47% McGee
TOSS-UPMarket: 59% (-6.4% edge)
Striker vs All-Rounder — Striker wins 51% historically
→Elo gap: -13(favors McGee)
→Striking volume advantage: -2.5(favors McGee)
→Takedown rate advantage: -1.5(favors McGee)
Welterweight✓
Michael Graves won by Submission (R2)
Graves 54%46% Brown
TOSS-UPMarket: 55% (-1.4% edge)
→Elo gap: +5(favors Graves)
→Striking volume advantage: -1.4(favors Brown)
→Takedown rate advantage: +6.0(favors Graves)
Bantamweight✓
John Dodson won by KO/TKO (R1)
Dodson 56%44% Gamburyan
LEAN
Striker vs Wrestler — Striker wins 51% historically
→Elo gap: +190(favors Dodson)
→Striking volume advantage: +0.8(favors Dodson)
→Takedown rate advantage: -2.5(favors Gamburyan)
Middleweight✗
Cezar Ferreira won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Ferreira 37%63% Bamgbose
LEANMarket: 35% (+1.9% edge)
→Elo gap: -155(favors Bamgbose)
→Striking volume advantage: -2.8(favors Bamgbose)
→Takedown rate advantage: +2.3(favors Ferreira)
Welterweight✗
Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos won by KO/TKO (R3)
Santos 46%54% Akhmedov
TOSS-UPMarket: 44% (+1.6% edge)
All-Rounder vs All-Rounder — All-Rounder wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: -198(favors Akhmedov)
→Striking volume advantage: +0.5(favors Santos)
→Takedown rate advantage: -2.6(favors Akhmedov)