UFC Fight Night: Hunt vs Mir
Saturday, March 19, 2016·Brisbane, Queensland, Australia
Model Record: 6/12Overall Model Accuracy: 63.4%
Heavyweight✗
Mark Hunt won by KO/TKO (R1)
Hunt 49%51% Mir
TOSS-UPMarket: 55% (-6.6% edge)
Striker vs Submission Artist — Striker wins 48% historically
→Elo gap: +27(favors Hunt)
→Striking volume advantage: +1.1(favors Hunt)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.2(favors Mir)
Welterweight✓
Neil Magny won by KO/TKO (R3)
Magny 75%25% Lombard
STRONGMarket: 49% (+25.8% edge)
Wrestler vs Striker — Wrestler wins 49% historically
→Elo gap: +45(favors Magny)
→Striking volume advantage: +0.5(favors Magny)
→Takedown rate advantage: +1.4(favors Magny)
Lightweight✓
Jake Matthews won by Submission (R3)
Matthews 60%40% Case
LEANMarket: 49% (+10.9% edge)
All-Rounder vs All-Rounder — All-Rounder wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: -118(favors Case)
→Striking volume advantage: +0.6(favors Matthews)
→Takedown rate advantage: +0.6(favors Matthews)
Middleweight✗
Daniel Kelly won by KO/TKO (R3)
Kelly 29%71% Junior
CONFIDENTMarket: 20% (+9.1% edge)
All-Rounder vs Wrestler — All-Rounder wins 42% historically
→Elo gap: +27(favors Kelly)
→Striking volume advantage: +2.7(favors Kelly)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.8(favors Junior)
Light Heavyweight✗
Steve Bosse won by KO/TKO (R1)
Bosse 18%82% Huna
STRONGMarket: 30% (-11.7% edge)
→Elo gap: -99(favors Huna)
→Striking volume advantage: -4.9(favors Huna)
→Takedown rate advantage: -2.0(favors Huna)
Women's Strawweight✓
Bec Rawlings won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Rawlings 58%42% Ham
LEANMarket: 48% (+10.2% edge)
→Elo gap: +20(favors Rawlings)
→Striking volume advantage: +0.4(favors Rawlings)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Ham)
Welterweight✓
Alan Jouban won by KO/TKO (R1)
Jouban 86%14% O'Reilly
STRONGMarket: 81% (+4.4% edge)
→Elo gap: +105(favors Jouban)
→Striking volume advantage: +2.7(favors Jouban)
→Takedown rate advantage: -2.6(favors O'Reilly)
Featherweight✓
Dan Hooker won by Submission (R1)
Hooker 60%40% Eddiva
LEAN
→Elo gap: +152(favors Hooker)
→Striking volume advantage: +0.1(favors Hooker)
→Takedown rate advantage: -1.2(favors Eddiva)
Women's Bantamweight✗
Leslie Smith won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Smith 48%52% Nakai
TOSS-UPMarket: 57% (-9.1% edge)
→Elo gap: +2(favors Smith)
→Striking volume advantage: +4.9(favors Smith)
→Takedown rate advantage: -3.0(favors Nakai)
Welterweight✗
Viscardi Andrade won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Andrade 50%50% Walsh
TOSS-UPMarket: 47% (+2.5% edge)
→Elo gap: +96(favors Andrade)
→Striking volume advantage: -1.3(favors Walsh)
→Takedown rate advantage: -1.1(favors Walsh)
Lightweight✗
Ross Pearson won by Decision - Split (R3)
Pearson 39%61% Laprise
LEANMarket: 49% (-9.3% edge)
Striker vs Striker — Striker wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: +21(favors Pearson)
→Striking volume advantage: -1.6(favors Laprise)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.5(favors Laprise)
Lightweight✓
Alan Patrick won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Patrick 76%24% Brown
STRONGMarket: 69% (+6.3% edge)
Wrestler vs All-Rounder — Wrestler wins 59% historically
→Elo gap: +100(favors Patrick)
→Striking volume advantage: +2.9(favors Patrick)
→Takedown rate advantage: +1.8(favors Patrick)