UFC Fight Night: Cejudo vs. Song
Saturday, February 22, 2025·Seattle, Washington, USA·12 fights
Model: 8/12(67%)
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Main Card
BantamweightHIT
Song Yadong won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Yadong 76%24% Cejudo
Over/UnderOver 54%
Under 46%Over 54%
STRONGMarket: 69% (+6.8% edge)
All-Rounder vs All-Rounder — All-Rounder wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: -257(favors Cejudo)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.4(favors Cejudo)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.5(favors Cejudo)
MiddleweightHIT
Anthony Hernandez won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Hernandez 77%23% Allen
Over/UnderUnder 54%
Under 54%Over 46%
STRONGMarket: 74% (+3.2% edge)
Submission Artist vs Wrestler — Submission Artist wins 45% historically
→Elo gap: +28(favors Hernandez)
→Striking volume advantage: +1.4(favors Hernandez)
→Takedown rate advantage: +5.5(favors Hernandez)
Catch WeightMISS
Rob Font won by Decision - Split (R3)
Font 41%59% Matsumoto
Over/UnderUnder 51%
Under 51%Over 49%
LEANMarket: 39% (+2.8% edge)
→Elo gap: +330(favors Font)
→Striking volume advantage: +0.7(favors Font)
→Takedown rate advantage: -1.4(favors Matsumoto)
FeatherweightHIT
Jean Silva won by KO/TKO (R1)
Silva 74%26% Baghdasaryan
Over/UnderOver 55%
Under 45%Over 55%
CONFIDENTMarket: 80% (-5.9% edge)
→Elo gap: +461(favors Silva)
→Striking volume advantage: +0.3(favors Silva)
→Takedown rate advantage: +0.7(favors Silva)
Light HeavyweightHIT
Alonzo Menifield won by Decision - Split (R3)
Menifield 59%41% Walker
Over/UnderUnder 56%
Under 56%Over 44%
LEANMarket: 66% (-7.2% edge)
→Elo gap: +305(favors Menifield)
→Striking volume advantage: +3.5(favors Menifield)
→Takedown rate advantage: +0.3(favors Menifield)
Light HeavyweightMISS
Ion Cutelaba won by Submission (R1)
Cutelaba 38%62% Aslan
Over/UnderOver 54%
Under 46%Over 54%
LEANMarket: 36% (+2.7% edge)
→Elo gap: -41(favors Aslan)
→Striking volume advantage: -5.1(favors Aslan)
→Takedown rate advantage: +2.5(favors Cutelaba)
Prelims
FeatherweightHIT
Melquizael Costa won by Submission (R1)
Costa 62%38% Fili
Over/UnderOver 61%
Under 39%Over 61%
LEANMarket: 55% (+6.6% edge)
All-Rounder vs All-Rounder — All-Rounder wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: -26(favors Fili)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.7(favors Fili)
→Takedown rate advantage: +1.6(favors Costa)
MiddleweightHIT
Mansur Abdul-Malik won by KO/TKO (R2)
Abdul-Malik 93%7% Klein
Over/UnderUnder 64%
Under 64%Over 36%
STRONGMarket: 89% (+3.6% edge)
→Elo gap: +135(favors Abdul-Malik)
→Striking volume advantage: +10.6(favors Abdul-Malik)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Klein)
BantamweightMISS
Ricky Simon won by KO/TKO (R1)
Simon 27%73% Basharat
Over/UnderOver 60%
Under 40%Over 60%
CONFIDENTMarket: 31% (-4.1% edge)
All-Rounder vs Striker — All-Rounder wins 49% historically
→Elo gap: +87(favors Simon)
→Striking volume advantage: -2.7(favors Basharat)
→Takedown rate advantage: +0.9(favors Simon)
Catch WeightMISS
Austin Vanderford won by KO/TKO (R2)
Vanderford 46%54% Veretennikov
Over/UnderOver 57%
Under 43%Over 57%
TOSS-UPMarket: 49% (-3.3% edge)
→Elo gap: +51(favors Vanderford)
→Striking volume advantage: -3.3(favors Veretennikov)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Veretennikov)
MiddleweightHIT
Nursulton Ruziboev won by KO/TKO (R2)
Ruziboev 54%46% McConico
Over/UnderUnder 59%
Under 59%Over 41%
TOSS-UP
→Elo gap: +311(favors Ruziboev)
→Striking volume advantage: +2.5(favors Ruziboev)
→Takedown rate advantage: +0.8(favors Ruziboev)
Light HeavyweightHIT
Modestas Bukauskas won by KO/TKO (R1)
Bukauskas 62%38% Cerqueira
Over/UnderUnder 57%
Under 57%Over 43%
LEAN
→Elo gap: +233(favors Bukauskas)
→Striking volume advantage: +1.8(favors Bukauskas)
→Takedown rate advantage: +0.5(favors Bukauskas)