UFC Fight Night: Henderson vs Masvidal
Saturday, November 28, 2015·Seoul, South Korea
Model Record: 7/11Overall Model Accuracy: 63.4%
Welterweight✓
Benson Henderson won by Decision - Split (R5)
Henderson 66%34% Masvidal
CONFIDENTMarket: 67% (-1.9% edge)
All-Rounder vs All-Rounder — All-Rounder wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: +136(favors Henderson)
→Striking volume advantage: -1.5(favors Masvidal)
→Takedown rate advantage: +0.4(favors Henderson)
Welterweight✓
Dong Hyun Kim won by KO/TKO (R1)
Kim 82%18% Waters
STRONGMarket: 86% (-3.7% edge)
→Elo gap: +414(favors Kim)
→Striking volume advantage: +1.1(favors Kim)
→Takedown rate advantage: -3.1(favors Waters)
Welterweight✗
Alberto Mina won by Decision - Split (R3)
Mina 35%65% Akiyama
LEANMarket: 41% (-6.2% edge)
→Elo gap: +92(favors Mina)
→Striking volume advantage: +5.2(favors Mina)
→Takedown rate advantage: -2.2(favors Akiyama)
Featherweight✓
Dooho Choi won by KO/TKO (R1)
Choi 55%45% Sicilia
LEAN
Knockout Artist vs Wrestler — Knockout Artist wins 49% historically
→Elo gap: -52(favors Sicilia)
→Striking volume advantage: +31.0(favors Choi)
→Takedown rate advantage: -2.2(favors Sicilia)
Middleweight✗
Dongi Yang won by KO/TKO (R2)
Yang 44%56% Collier
LEANMarket: 48% (-3.5% edge)
→Elo gap: -24(favors Collier)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.6(favors Collier)
→Takedown rate advantage: +0.1(favors Yang)
Featherweight✓
Mike de la Torre won by Decision - Split (R3)
Torre 60%40% Nam
LEANMarket: 48% (+12.3% edge)
→Elo gap: +58(favors Torre)
→Striking volume advantage: +0.5(favors Torre)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.8(favors Nam)
Lightweight✓
Tae Hyun Bang won by Decision - Split (R3)
Bang 63%37% Kuntz
LEANMarket: 40% (+22.9% edge)
→Elo gap: +53(favors Bang)
→Striking volume advantage: +1.4(favors Bang)
→Takedown rate advantage: +0.5(favors Bang)
Women's Strawweight✗
Seo Hee Ham won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Ham 50%50% Casey
TOSS-UPMarket: 43% (+6.6% edge)
→Elo gap: +13(favors Ham)
→Striking volume advantage: +0.1(favors Ham)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Casey)
Flyweight✗
Fredy Serrano won by KO/TKO (R1)
Serrano 49%51% Zhikui
TOSS-UP
→Elo gap: +118(favors Serrano)
→Striking volume advantage: +0.5(favors Serrano)
→Takedown rate advantage: +2.1(favors Serrano)
Bantamweight✓
Marco Beltran won by Decision - Split (R3)
Beltran 59%41% Ning
LEAN
→Elo gap: -146(favors Ning)
→Striking volume advantage: -1.0(favors Ning)
→Takedown rate advantage: -1.4(favors Ning)
Welterweight✓
Dominique Steele won by KO/TKO (R3)
Steele 52%48% Ma
TOSS-UPMarket: 55% (-3.4% edge)
→Elo gap: -93(favors Ma)
→Striking volume advantage: +2.8(favors Steele)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Ma)