UFC Fight Night: Holohan vs Smolka
Saturday, October 24, 2015·Dublin, Leinster, Ireland
Model Record: 8/9Overall Model Accuracy: 63.4%
Flyweight✓
Louis Smolka won by Submission (R2)
Smolka 64%36% Holohan
LEAN
→Elo gap: +111(favors Smolka)
→Striking volume advantage: +1.9(favors Smolka)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Holohan)
Lightweight✓
Norman Parke won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Parke 77%23% Madadi
STRONGMarket: 67% (+9.6% edge)
Striker vs Wrestler — Striker wins 51% historically
→Elo gap: -93(favors Madadi)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.2(favors Madadi)
→Takedown rate advantage: -3.0(favors Madadi)
Welterweight
Dalby 45%55% Till
LEANMarket: 49% (-4.5% edge)
Striker vs Striker — Striker wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: -8(favors Till)
→Striking volume advantage: -1.1(favors Till)
→Takedown rate advantage: +6.0(favors Dalby)
Flyweight✓
Neil Seery won by Submission (R2)
Seery 64%36% Reyes
LEAN
→Elo gap: +95(favors Seery)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.1(favors Reyes)
→Takedown rate advantage: -1.4(favors Reyes)
Lightweight✓
Stevie Ray won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Ray 82%18% Lebout
STRONGMarket: 81% (+1.1% edge)
→Elo gap: +110(favors Ray)
→Striking volume advantage: +2.5(favors Ray)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Lebout)
Women's Strawweight✓
Aisling Daly won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Daly 70%30% Almeida
CONFIDENTMarket: 50% (+19.7% edge)
→Elo gap: +65(favors Daly)
→Striking volume advantage: +1.3(favors Daly)
→Takedown rate advantage: +2.3(favors Daly)
Middleweight✓
Krzysztof Jotko won by Decision - Split (R3)
Jotko 57%43% Askham
LEANMarket: 44% (+12.8% edge)
Striker vs Knockout Artist — Striker wins 46% historically
→Elo gap: -3(favors Askham)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.3(favors Askham)
→Takedown rate advantage: +0.8(favors Jotko)
Welterweight✓
Tom Breese won by KO/TKO (R1)
Breese 75%25% Pendred
CONFIDENTMarket: 72% (+2.8% edge)
All-Rounder vs Wrestler — All-Rounder wins 42% historically
→Elo gap: -23(favors Pendred)
→Striking volume advantage: +2.6(favors Breese)
→Takedown rate advantage: -2.6(favors Pendred)
Featherweight✓
Darren Elkins won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Elkins 64%36% Whiteford
LEANMarket: 58% (+5.5% edge)
→Elo gap: +16(favors Elkins)
→Striking volume advantage: +0.1(favors Elkins)
→Takedown rate advantage: -2.0(favors Whiteford)
Middleweight✗
Garreth McLellan won by KO/TKO (R3)
McLellan 49%51% Bush
TOSS-UPMarket: 26% (+23.0% edge)
→Elo gap: -85(favors Bush)
→Striking volume advantage: -1.1(favors Bush)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Bush)