UFC 191: Johnson vs Dodson 2
Saturday, September 5, 2015·Las Vegas, Nevada, USA·11 fights
Model: 7/11(64%)
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Main Card
FlyweightHIT
Demetrious Johnson won by Decision - Unanimous (R5)
Johnson 90%10% Dodson
Over/UnderOver 72%
Under 28%Over 72%
STRONGMarket: 83% (+7.3% edge)
Wrestler vs Striker — Wrestler wins 49% historically
→Elo gap: +230(favors Johnson)
→Striking volume advantage: +0.8(favors Johnson)
→Takedown rate advantage: +3.9(favors Johnson)
HeavyweightHIT
Andrei Arlovski won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Arlovski 62%38% Mir
Over/UnderUnder 56%
Under 56%Over 44%
LEANMarket: 59% (+3.4% edge)
All-Rounder vs Submission Artist — All-Rounder wins 45% historically
→Elo gap: +219(favors Arlovski)
→Striking volume advantage: +0.7(favors Arlovski)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.1(favors Mir)
Light HeavyweightHIT
Anthony Johnson won by KO/TKO (R2)
Johnson 88%12% Manuwa
Over/UnderUnder 52%
Under 52%Over 48%
STRONGMarket: 84% (+4.1% edge)
Striker vs All-Rounder — Striker wins 51% historically
→Elo gap: +169(favors Johnson)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.7(favors Manuwa)
→Takedown rate advantage: +0.3(favors Johnson)
Light HeavyweightHIT
Corey Anderson won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Anderson 56%44% Blachowicz
Over/UnderOver 52%
Under 48%Over 52%
LEANMarket: 43% (+12.8% edge)
Striker vs All-Rounder — Striker wins 51% historically
→Elo gap: -255(favors Blachowicz)
→Striking volume advantage: +2.6(favors Anderson)
→Takedown rate advantage: +4.5(favors Anderson)
Women's StrawweightHIT
Paige VanZant won by Submission (R3)
VanZant 72%28% Chambers
Over/UnderOver 57%
Under 43%Over 57%
CONFIDENTMarket: 91% (-19.1% edge)
→Elo gap: +322(favors VanZant)
→Striking volume advantage: +1.5(favors VanZant)
→Takedown rate advantage: +0.2(favors VanZant)
Prelims
LightweightMISS
Ross Pearson won by Decision - Split (R3)
Pearson 40%60% Felder
Over/UnderOver 59%
Under 41%Over 59%
LEANMarket: 20% (+19.4% edge)
Striker vs All-Rounder — Striker wins 51% historically
→Elo gap: -75(favors Felder)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.8(favors Felder)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.1(favors Felder)
BantamweightHIT
John Lineker won by Submission (R1)
Lineker 64%36% Rivera
Over/UnderOver 56%
Under 44%Over 56%
LEANMarket: 55% (+8.5% edge)
Knockout Artist vs All-Rounder — Knockout Artist wins 49% historically
→Elo gap: +46(favors Lineker)
→Striking volume advantage: +1.1(favors Lineker)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.8(favors Rivera)
Women's BantamweightMISS
Raquel Pennington won by Submission (R2)
Pennington 34%66% Andrade
Over/UnderOver 65%
Under 35%Over 65%
CONFIDENTMarket: 33% (+0.2% edge)
All-Rounder vs All-Rounder — All-Rounder wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: -150(favors Andrade)
→Striking volume advantage: -2.6(favors Andrade)
→Takedown rate advantage: -1.1(favors Andrade)
FeatherweightMISS
Tiago dos Santos e Silva won by Decision - Split (R3)
Silva 35%65% Collard
Over/UnderOver 61%
Under 39%Over 61%
LEAN
→Elo gap: -125(favors Collard)
→Striking volume advantage: +0.1(favors Silva)
→Takedown rate advantage: -3.4(favors Collard)
Early Prelims
MiddleweightMISS
Joe Riggs won by DQ (R2)
Riggs 44%56% Stallings
Over/UnderOver 59%
Under 41%Over 59%
LEANMarket: 39% (+5.2% edge)
→Elo gap: -209(favors Stallings)
→Striking volume advantage: -1.9(favors Stallings)
→Takedown rate advantage: +2.7(favors Riggs)
LightweightHIT
Joaquim Silva won by Decision - Split (R3)
Silva 57%43% Malegarie
Over/UnderOver 52%
Under 48%Over 52%
LEANMarket: 43% (+14.4% edge)
→Elo gap: -0(favors Malegarie)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.0(favors Malegarie)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Malegarie)