UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs Oliveira
Sunday, August 23, 2015·Saskatoon, Saskatchewan, Canada
Model Record: 7/12Overall Model Accuracy: 63.4%
Featherweight✓
Max Holloway won by KO/TKO (R1)
Holloway 77%23% Oliveira
STRONGMarket: 68% (+9.0% edge)
Knockout Artist vs Wrestler — Knockout Artist wins 49% historically
→Elo gap: +91(favors Holloway)
→Striking volume advantage: +2.7(favors Holloway)
→Takedown rate advantage: -1.9(favors Oliveira)
Welterweight✓
Neil Magny won by Decision - Split (R3)
Magny 74%26% Silva
CONFIDENTMarket: 38% (+36.3% edge)
All-Rounder vs Wrestler — All-Rounder wins 42% historically
→Elo gap: +70(favors Magny)
→Striking volume advantage: +0.9(favors Magny)
→Takedown rate advantage: +2.3(favors Magny)
Welterweight✓
Patrick Cote won by KO/TKO (R3)
Cote 71%29% Burkman
CONFIDENT
Wrestler vs All-Rounder — Wrestler wins 59% historically
→Elo gap: +294(favors Cote)
→Striking volume advantage: +0.4(favors Cote)
→Takedown rate advantage: +0.1(favors Cote)
Lightweight✗
Francisco Trinaldo won by KO/TKO (R1)
Trinaldo 28%72% Laprise
CONFIDENTMarket: 22% (+5.2% edge)
All-Rounder vs Striker — All-Rounder wins 49% historically
→Elo gap: +2(favors Trinaldo)
→Striking volume advantage: -1.4(favors Laprise)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.5(favors Laprise)
Lightweight✓
Olivier Aubin-Mercier won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Aubin-Mercier 82%18% Sims
STRONGMarket: 67% (+15.3% edge)
→Elo gap: -6(favors Sims)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.1(favors Sims)
→Takedown rate advantage: +3.0(favors Aubin-Mercier)
Women's Strawweight✗
Valerie Letourneau won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Letourneau 50%50% Moroz
TOSS-UPMarket: 33% (+16.9% edge)
All-Rounder vs All-Rounder — All-Rounder wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: -27(favors Moroz)
→Striking volume advantage: -3.3(favors Moroz)
→Takedown rate advantage: +1.0(favors Letourneau)
Lightweight✓
Frankie Perez won by KO/TKO (R1)
Perez 54%46% Stout
TOSS-UPMarket: 55% (-1.0% edge)
→Elo gap: +32(favors Perez)
→Striking volume advantage: -2.5(favors Stout)
→Takedown rate advantage: +0.1(favors Perez)
Bantamweight✓
Felipe Arantes won by Submission (R1)
Arantes 75%25% Jabouin
CONFIDENTMarket: 67% (+7.6% edge)
All-Rounder vs Striker — All-Rounder wins 49% historically
→Elo gap: +78(favors Arantes)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.7(favors Jabouin)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.1(favors Jabouin)
Light Heavyweight✗
Nikita Krylov won by Submission (R1)
Krylov 46%54% Lima
TOSS-UPMarket: 39% (+7.0% edge)
Submission Artist vs All-Rounder — Submission Artist wins 56% historically
→Elo gap: -47(favors Lima)
→Striking volume advantage: -5.1(favors Lima)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Lima)
Flyweight✗
Chris Kelades won by Decision - Split (R3)
Kelades 43%57% Beal
LEANMarket: 40% (+2.9% edge)
→Elo gap: -72(favors Beal)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.9(favors Beal)
→Takedown rate advantage: -1.0(favors Beal)
Lightweight✗
Shane Campbell won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Campbell 39%61% Silverio
LEANMarket: 31% (+7.6% edge)
→Elo gap: -175(favors Silverio)
→Striking volume advantage: +0.9(favors Campbell)
→Takedown rate advantage: -1.5(favors Silverio)
Light Heavyweight✓
Misha Cirkunov won by KO/TKO (R1)
Cirkunov 88%12% Jolly
STRONGMarket: 79% (+9.1% edge)
→Elo gap: -0(favors Jolly)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.0(favors Jolly)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Jolly)