UFC Fight Night: Miocic vs Hunt
Saturday, May 9, 2015·Adelaide, South Australia, Australia
Model Record: 7/12Overall Model Accuracy: 63.4%
Heavyweight✓
Stipe Miocic won by KO/TKO (R5)
Miocic 85%15% Hunt
STRONGMarket: 68% (+16.7% edge)
Striker vs Striker — Striker wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: -8(favors Hunt)
→Striking volume advantage: +1.6(favors Miocic)
→Takedown rate advantage: +0.0(favors Miocic)
Middleweight✓
Robert Whittaker won by KO/TKO (R1)
Whittaker 57%43% Tavares
LEANMarket: 43% (+13.3% edge)
Striker vs Striker — Striker wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: +91(favors Whittaker)
→Striking volume advantage: +2.0(favors Whittaker)
→Takedown rate advantage: +0.2(favors Whittaker)
Light Heavyweight✓
Sean O'Connell won by KO/TKO (R1)
O'Connell 53%47% Perosh
TOSS-UPMarket: 42% (+10.5% edge)
All-Rounder vs Wrestler — All-Rounder wins 42% historically
→Elo gap: -158(favors Perosh)
→Striking volume advantage: +3.8(favors O'Connell)
→Takedown rate advantage: -1.9(favors Perosh)
Lightweight✗
James Vick won by Submission (R1)
Vick 39%61% Matthews
LEANMarket: 37% (+2.1% edge)
All-Rounder vs All-Rounder — All-Rounder wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: +80(favors Vick)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.5(favors Matthews)
→Takedown rate advantage: -3.7(favors Matthews)
Featherweight✗
Dan Hooker won by KO/TKO (R2)
Hooker 45%55% Hioki
LEAN
Knockout Artist vs All-Rounder — Knockout Artist wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: +21(favors Hooker)
→Striking volume advantage: +4.1(favors Hooker)
→Takedown rate advantage: -2.6(favors Hioki)
Welterweight✓
Kyle Noke won by Decision - Split (R3)
Noke 56%44% Webb
LEANMarket: 52% (+4.2% edge)
→Elo gap: +48(favors Noke)
→Striking volume advantage: +3.0(favors Noke)
→Takedown rate advantage: +2.0(favors Noke)
Middleweight✓
Sam Alvey won by KO/TKO (R1)
Alvey 86%14% Kelly
STRONGMarket: 77% (+9.0% edge)
All-Rounder vs All-Rounder — All-Rounder wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: +29(favors Alvey)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.0(favors Kelly)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.8(favors Kelly)
Women's Strawweight✗
Bec Rawlings won by Submission (R1)
Rawlings 50%50% Ellis
TOSS-UPMarket: 63% (-13.6% edge)
→Elo gap: +26(favors Rawlings)
→Striking volume advantage: +4.1(favors Rawlings)
→Takedown rate advantage: -3.7(favors Ellis)
Middleweight✓
Brad Scott won by Submission (R2)
Scott 62%38% Andrews
LEANMarket: 49% (+13.4% edge)
→Elo gap: +78(favors Scott)
→Striking volume advantage: +1.1(favors Scott)
→Takedown rate advantage: -2.9(favors Andrews)
Women's Strawweight✗
Alex Chambers won by Submission (R3)
Chambers 26%74% Curran
CONFIDENTMarket: 32% (-6.2% edge)
→Elo gap: +17(favors Chambers)
→Striking volume advantage: +0.3(favors Chambers)
→Takedown rate advantage: -2.7(favors Curran)
Welterweight✓
Brendan O'Reilly won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
O'Reilly 58%42% Grujic
LEANMarket: 47% (+11.2% edge)
→Elo gap: +52(favors O'Reilly)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.1(favors Grujic)
→Takedown rate advantage: -1.3(favors Grujic)
Flyweight✗
Ben Nguyen won by KO/TKO (R1)
Nguyen 47%53% Ozkilic
TOSS-UPMarket: 36% (+11.7% edge)
→Elo gap: +97(favors Nguyen)
→Striking volume advantage: -3.9(favors Ozkilic)
→Takedown rate advantage: -4.3(favors Ozkilic)