UFC Fight Night: Adesanya vs. Imavov
Saturday, February 1, 2025·Riyadh, Riyadh, Saudi Arabia
Model Record: 8/11Overall Model Accuracy: 63.4%
Middleweight✓
Nassourdine Imavov won by KO/TKO (R2)
Imavov 73%27% Adesanya
CONFIDENT
All-Rounder vs Striker — All-Rounder wins 49% historically
→Elo gap: +97(favors Imavov)
→Striking volume advantage: +0.5(favors Imavov)
→Takedown rate advantage: +0.7(favors Imavov)
Middleweight✓
Michael Page won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Page 51%49% Magomedov
TOSS-UP
→Elo gap: -185(favors Magomedov)
→Striking volume advantage: -4.8(favors Magomedov)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Magomedov)
Heavyweight✓
Sergei Pavlovich won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Pavlovich 53%47% Rozenstruik
TOSS-UP
Striker vs Striker — Striker wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: +120(favors Pavlovich)
→Striking volume advantage: +0.0(favors Pavlovich)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Rozenstruik)
Bantamweight✗
Vinicius Oliveira won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Oliveira 47%53% Nurmagomedov
TOSS-UP
→Elo gap: -140(favors Nurmagomedov)
→Striking volume advantage: +2.9(favors Oliveira)
→Takedown rate advantage: +0.1(favors Oliveira)
Lightweight✓
Fares Ziam won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Ziam 70%30% Davis
CONFIDENT
All-Rounder vs All-Rounder — All-Rounder wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: +150(favors Ziam)
→Striking volume advantage: -1.9(favors Davis)
→Takedown rate advantage: -1.5(favors Davis)
Featherweight✓
Muhammad Naimov won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Naimov 63%37% Ofli
LEAN
→Elo gap: +257(favors Naimov)
→Striking volume advantage: +1.2(favors Naimov)
→Takedown rate advantage: +2.6(favors Naimov)
Heavyweight✗
Shamil Gaziev won by KO/TKO (R1)
Gaziev 49%51% Petersen
TOSS-UP
→Elo gap: +163(favors Gaziev)
→Striking volume advantage: -2.0(favors Petersen)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.4(favors Petersen)
Lightweight✓
Terrance McKinney won by KO/TKO (R1)
McKinney 67%33% Hadzovic
CONFIDENT
Submission Artist vs Striker — Submission Artist wins 52% historically
→Elo gap: -64(favors Hadzovic)
→Striking volume advantage: +0.4(favors McKinney)
→Takedown rate advantage: +0.5(favors McKinney)
Women's Flyweight✓
Jasmine Jasudavicius won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Jasudavicius 66%34% Silva
CONFIDENT
Wrestler vs Wrestler — Wrestler wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: +222(favors Jasudavicius)
→Striking volume advantage: +0.7(favors Jasudavicius)
→Takedown rate advantage: +1.0(favors Jasudavicius)
Featherweight✓
Bogdan Grad won by KO/TKO (R2)
Grad 55%45% Alexander
TOSS-UP
→Elo gap: +147(favors Grad)
→Striking volume advantage: -5.2(favors Alexander)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Alexander)
Heavyweight✗
Hamdy Abdelwahab won by Decision - Split (R3)
Abdelwahab 45%55% Pogues
TOSS-UP
→Elo gap: -63(favors Pogues)
→Striking volume advantage: +0.9(favors Abdelwahab)
→Takedown rate advantage: +1.3(favors Abdelwahab)