UFC Fight Night: Rockhold vs Bisping
Friday, November 7, 2014·Sydney, New South Wales, Australia
Model Record: 7/11Overall Model Accuracy: 63.4%
Middleweight✓
Luke Rockhold won by Submission (R2)
Rockhold 75%25% Bisping
STRONGMarket: 79% (-4.3% edge)
All-Rounder vs Striker — All-Rounder wins 49% historically
→Elo gap: -68(favors Bisping)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.9(favors Bisping)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.8(favors Bisping)
Lightweight✓
Al Iaquinta won by KO/TKO (R2)
Iaquinta 63%37% Pearson
LEANMarket: 40% (+22.6% edge)
All-Rounder vs Striker — All-Rounder wins 49% historically
→Elo gap: -175(favors Pearson)
→Striking volume advantage: +1.4(favors Iaquinta)
→Takedown rate advantage: +1.0(favors Iaquinta)
Middleweight✗
Robert Whittaker won by KO/TKO (R2)
Whittaker 42%58% Hester
LEAN
Striker vs Striker — Striker wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: -250(favors Hester)
→Striking volume advantage: +0.7(favors Whittaker)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.6(favors Hester)
Heavyweight✓
Soa Palelei won by KO/TKO (R2)
Palelei 69%31% Harris
CONFIDENTMarket: 59% (+9.9% edge)
Striker vs Striker — Striker wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: +385(favors Palelei)
→Striking volume advantage: +0.5(favors Palelei)
→Takedown rate advantage: +2.4(favors Palelei)
Lightweight✓
Jake Matthews won by Submission (R2)
Matthews 92%8% Rocha
STRONGMarket: 77% (+14.7% edge)
→Elo gap: +187(favors Matthews)
→Striking volume advantage: +1.7(favors Matthews)
→Takedown rate advantage: +2.7(favors Matthews)
Light Heavyweight✗
Anthony Perosh won by Submission (R1)
Perosh 25%75% Inocente
CONFIDENTMarket: 35% (-9.5% edge)
→Elo gap: +163(favors Perosh)
→Striking volume advantage: +0.4(favors Perosh)
→Takedown rate advantage: +2.1(favors Perosh)
Middleweight✓
Sam Alvey won by KO/TKO (R1)
Alvey 55%45% Andrews
LEANMarket: 39% (+16.2% edge)
→Elo gap: -129(favors Andrews)
→Striking volume advantage: +3.3(favors Alvey)
→Takedown rate advantage: -2.4(favors Andrews)
Flyweight✓
Louis Smolka won by KO/TKO (R3)
Smolka 73%27% Vaculik
CONFIDENTMarket: 75% (-2.6% edge)
→Elo gap: +47(favors Smolka)
→Striking volume advantage: +3.0(favors Smolka)
→Takedown rate advantage: -2.5(favors Vaculik)
Welterweight✗
Chris Clements won by KO/TKO (R1)
Clements 44%56% Grujic
LEANMarket: 44% (+0.2% edge)
→Elo gap: -100(favors Grujic)
→Striking volume advantage: +2.7(favors Clements)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.8(favors Grujic)
Middleweight✗
Daniel Kelly won by Submission (R1)
Kelly 38%62% Zachrich
LEANMarket: 27% (+10.6% edge)
→Elo gap: -26(favors Zachrich)
→Striking volume advantage: -4.4(favors Zachrich)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.9(favors Zachrich)
Bantamweight✓
Marcus Brimage won by KO/TKO (R1)
Brimage 90%10% Tuerxun
STRONGMarket: 82% (+7.9% edge)
→Elo gap: +173(favors Brimage)
→Striking volume advantage: +2.7(favors Brimage)
→Takedown rate advantage: +0.2(favors Brimage)