UFC Fight Night: MacDonald vs Saffiedine
Saturday, October 4, 2014·Halifax, Nova Scotia, Canada
Model Record: 8/11Overall Model Accuracy: 63.4%
Welterweight✓
Rory MacDonald won by KO/TKO (R3)
MacDonald 74%26% Saffiedine
CONFIDENT
All-Rounder vs All-Rounder — All-Rounder wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: +463(favors MacDonald)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.5(favors Saffiedine)
→Takedown rate advantage: +0.6(favors MacDonald)
Bantamweight✗
Raphael Assuncao won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Assuncao 44%56% Caraway
LEAN
All-Rounder vs Wrestler — All-Rounder wins 42% historically
→Elo gap: +50(favors Assuncao)
→Striking volume advantage: +2.1(favors Assuncao)
→Takedown rate advantage: -1.9(favors Caraway)
Lightweight✓
Chad Laprise won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Laprise 69%31% Cedeno
CONFIDENT
→Elo gap: -16(favors Cedeno)
→Striking volume advantage: +2.8(favors Laprise)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Cedeno)
Middleweight✓
Elias Theodorou won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Theodorou 81%19% Santos
STRONG
→Elo gap: +131(favors Theodorou)
→Striking volume advantage: +6.3(favors Theodorou)
→Takedown rate advantage: +2.1(favors Theodorou)
Welterweight✓
Nordine Taleb won by Decision - Split (R3)
Taleb 53%47% Jingliang
TOSS-UP
Striker vs Striker — Striker wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: +17(favors Taleb)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.9(favors Jingliang)
→Takedown rate advantage: +2.0(favors Taleb)
Bantamweight✓
Mitch Gagnon won by Submission (R1)
Gagnon 70%30% Salazar
CONFIDENT
→Elo gap: +219(favors Gagnon)
→Striking volume advantage: +3.3(favors Gagnon)
→Takedown rate advantage: +1.9(favors Gagnon)
Lightweight✓
Daron Cruickshank won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Cruickshank 64%36% Njokuani
LEAN
Knockout Artist vs All-Rounder — Knockout Artist wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: +100(favors Cruickshank)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.2(favors Njokuani)
→Takedown rate advantage: +0.9(favors Cruickshank)
Lightweight✓
Olivier Aubin-Mercier won by Submission (R2)
Aubin-Mercier 67%33% Lindsey
CONFIDENT
→Elo gap: +60(favors Aubin-Mercier)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.8(favors Lindsey)
→Takedown rate advantage: +2.0(favors Aubin-Mercier)
Lightweight✗
Paul Felder won by Decision - Split (R3)
Felder 25%75% Saggo
STRONG
All-Rounder vs Striker — All-Rounder wins 49% historically
→Elo gap: -128(favors Saggo)
→Striking volume advantage: -2.0(favors Saggo)
→Takedown rate advantage: -6.1(favors Saggo)
Flyweight✗
Chris Kelades won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Kelades 38%62% Holohan
LEAN
→Elo gap: -116(favors Holohan)
→Striking volume advantage: -3.2(favors Holohan)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Holohan)
Welterweight✓
Albert Tumenov won by KO/TKO (R1)
Tumenov 53%47% Dwyer
TOSS-UP
→Elo gap: +63(favors Tumenov)
→Striking volume advantage: +2.0(favors Tumenov)
→Takedown rate advantage: +0.8(favors Tumenov)
Bantamweight
Munhoz 63%37% Sanders
LEAN
→Elo gap: +303(favors Munhoz)
→Striking volume advantage: +2.8(favors Munhoz)
→Takedown rate advantage: +1.7(favors Munhoz)