UFC Fight Night: Bader vs Saint Preux
Saturday, August 16, 2014·Bangor, Maine, USA
Model Record: 5/10Overall Model Accuracy: 63.4%
Light HeavyweightHIT
Ryan Bader won by Decision - Unanimous (R5)
Bader 53%47% Preux
TOSS-UP
Wrestler vs All-Rounder — Wrestler wins 59% historically
→Elo gap: -8(favors Preux)
→Striking volume advantage: +0.4(favors Bader)
→Takedown rate advantage: +1.6(favors Bader)
LightweightHIT
Ross Pearson won by KO/TKO (R2)
Pearson 55%45% Maynard
TOSS-UP
Striker vs All-Rounder — Striker wins 51% historically
→Elo gap: -31(favors Maynard)
→Striking volume advantage: +1.3(favors Pearson)
→Takedown rate advantage: +0.6(favors Pearson)
MiddleweightMISS
Tim Boetsch won by KO/TKO (R2)
Boetsch 44%56% Tavares
LEAN
Knockout Artist vs Striker — Knockout Artist wins 54% historically
→Elo gap: -121(favors Tavares)
→Striking volume advantage: -1.5(favors Tavares)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.6(favors Tavares)
WelterweightMISS
Alan Jouban won by KO/TKO (R1)
Jouban 45%55% Baczynski
LEAN
Striker vs All-Rounder — Striker wins 51% historically
→Elo gap: -56(favors Baczynski)
→Striking volume advantage: -3.3(favors Baczynski)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.8(favors Baczynski)
HeavyweightHIT
Shawn Jordan won by KO/TKO (R3)
Jordan 57%43% May
LEAN
→Elo gap: +104(favors Jordan)
→Striking volume advantage: +1.5(favors Jordan)
→Takedown rate advantage: -2.5(favors May)
FeatherweightHIT
Thiago Tavares won by Submission (R1)
Tavares 59%41% Peralta
LEAN
Wrestler vs Striker — Wrestler wins 49% historically
→Elo gap: -10(favors Peralta)
→Striking volume advantage: -1.1(favors Peralta)
→Takedown rate advantage: +2.2(favors Tavares)
FlyweightMISS
Jussier Formiga won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Formiga 45%55% Makovsky
LEAN
Wrestler vs Striker — Wrestler wins 49% historically
→Elo gap: -94(favors Makovsky)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.9(favors Makovsky)
→Takedown rate advantage: -3.1(favors Makovsky)
Women's BantamweightHIT
Sara McMann won by Decision - Split (R3)
McMann 54%46% Murphy
TOSS-UP
Wrestler vs All-Rounder — Wrestler wins 59% historically
→Elo gap: +10(favors McMann)
→Striking volume advantage: +4.0(favors McMann)
→Takedown rate advantage: +5.8(favors McMann)
MiddleweightMISS
Tom Watson won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Watson 40%60% Alvey
LEAN
Striker vs All-Rounder — Striker wins 51% historically
→Elo gap: -20(favors Alvey)
→Striking volume advantage: +3.7(favors Watson)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Alvey)
BantamweightMISS
Frankie Saenz won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Saenz 40%60% Ticman
LEAN
→Elo gap: -0(favors Ticman)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.0(favors Ticman)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Ticman)