UFC on FOX: Lawler vs Brown
Saturday, July 26, 2014·San Jose, California, USA·12 fights
Model: 8/11(73%)
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Main Card
WelterweightMISS
Robbie Lawler won by Decision - Unanimous (R5)
Lawler 48%52% Brown
Over/UnderOver 67%
Under 33%Over 67%
TOSS-UP
Striker vs Knockout Artist — Striker wins 44% historically
→Elo gap: -100(favors Brown)
→Striking volume advantage: -2.1(favors Brown)
→Takedown rate advantage: -2.3(favors Brown)
Light HeavyweightHIT
Anthony Johnson won by KO/TKO (R1)
Johnson 71%29% Nogueira
Over/UnderUnder 53%
Under 53%Over 47%
CONFIDENT
Wrestler vs Knockout Artist — Wrestler wins 51% historically
→Elo gap: -54(favors Nogueira)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.3(favors Nogueira)
→Takedown rate advantage: +1.7(favors Johnson)
FeatherweightHIT
Dennis Bermudez won by Submission (R2)
Bermudez 69%31% Guida
Over/UnderOver 56%
Under 44%Over 56%
CONFIDENT
Submission Artist vs Wrestler — Submission Artist wins 45% historically
→Elo gap: +50(favors Bermudez)
→Striking volume advantage: +3.0(favors Bermudez)
→Takedown rate advantage: +2.6(favors Bermudez)
LightweightHIT
King Green won by Decision - Split (R3)
Green 62%38% Thomson
Over/UnderOver 58%
Under 42%Over 58%
LEAN
All-Rounder vs Striker — All-Rounder wins 49% historically
→Elo gap: -23(favors Thomson)
→Striking volume advantage: +2.5(favors Green)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.9(favors Thomson)
LightweightHIT
Jorge Masvidal won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Masvidal 66%34% Cruickshank
Over/UnderOver 58%
Under 42%Over 58%
CONFIDENT
Knockout Artist vs All-Rounder — Knockout Artist wins 49% historically
→Elo gap: +8(favors Masvidal)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.1(favors Cruickshank)
→Takedown rate advantage: +1.9(favors Masvidal)
Light HeavyweightHIT
Patrick Cummins won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Cummins 75%25% Kingsbury
Over/UnderUnder 53%
Under 53%Over 47%
STRONG
Striker vs Striker — Striker wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: +280(favors Cummins)
→Striking volume advantage: +0.6(favors Cummins)
→Takedown rate advantage: +2.6(favors Cummins)
Prelims
WelterweightHIT
Tim Means won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Means 68%32% Perpetuo
Over/UnderOver 54%
Under 46%Over 54%
CONFIDENT
→Elo gap: +22(favors Means)
→Striking volume advantage: +2.2(favors Means)
→Takedown rate advantage: +0.7(favors Means)
Featherweight
Torre 31%69% Ortega
Over/UnderOver 56%
Under 44%Over 56%
CONFIDENT
Striker vs All-Rounder — Striker wins 51% historically
→Elo gap: -702(favors Ortega)
→Striking volume advantage: +3.8(favors Torre)
→Takedown rate advantage: +1.0(favors Torre)
LightweightHIT
Tiago dos Santos e Silva won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Silva 52%48% Arreola
Over/UnderOver 56%
Under 44%Over 56%
TOSS-UP
→Elo gap: -0(favors Arreola)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.0(favors Arreola)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Arreola)
WelterweightMISS
Gilbert Burns won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Burns 44%56% Stahl
Over/UnderOver 50%
Under 50%Over 50%
LEAN
→Elo gap: -0(favors Stahl)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.0(favors Stahl)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Stahl)
Women's StrawweightHIT
Joanna Jedrzejczyk won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Jedrzejczyk 55%45% Lima
Over/UnderOver 56%
Under 44%Over 56%
TOSS-UP
All-Rounder vs Striker — All-Rounder wins 49% historically
→Elo gap: -0(favors Lima)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.0(favors Lima)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Lima)
FeatherweightMISS
Noad Lahat won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Lahat 34%66% Siler
Over/UnderOver 54%
Under 46%Over 54%
CONFIDENT
→Elo gap: -386(favors Siler)
→Striking volume advantage: +1.9(favors Lahat)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.3(favors Siler)