UFC Fight Night: Te Huna vs Marquardt
Saturday, June 28, 2014·Auckland, New Zealand
Model Record: 7/10Overall Model Accuracy: 63.4%
Middleweight✗
Nate Marquardt won by Submission (R1)
Marquardt 46%54% Huna
TOSS-UP
Submission Artist vs Striker — Submission Artist wins 52% historically
→Elo gap: +8(favors Marquardt)
→Striking volume advantage: -3.1(favors Huna)
→Takedown rate advantage: +0.3(favors Marquardt)
Heavyweight✓
Jared Rosholt won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Rosholt 63%37% Palelei
LEAN
Wrestler vs Striker — Wrestler wins 49% historically
→Elo gap: -65(favors Palelei)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.1(favors Palelei)
→Takedown rate advantage: -1.6(favors Palelei)
Featherweight✓
Charles Oliveira won by Submission (R2)
Oliveira 57%43% Hioki
LEAN
Wrestler vs All-Rounder — Wrestler wins 59% historically
→Elo gap: +71(favors Oliveira)
→Striking volume advantage: +0.4(favors Oliveira)
→Takedown rate advantage: +0.1(favors Oliveira)
Welterweight✓
Robert Whittaker won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Whittaker 59%41% Rhodes
LEAN
→Elo gap: +116(favors Whittaker)
→Striking volume advantage: +1.2(favors Whittaker)
→Takedown rate advantage: -1.7(favors Rhodes)
Lightweight✓
Jake Matthews won by Submission (R3)
Matthews 59%41% Johnson
LEAN
→Elo gap: -0(favors Johnson)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.0(favors Johnson)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Johnson)
Flyweight✗
Richie Vaculik won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Vaculik 41%59% Sangcha'an
LEAN
→Elo gap: -128(favors Sangcha'an)
→Striking volume advantage: +0.4(favors Vaculik)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Sangcha'an)
Welterweight✗
Vik Grujic won by KO/TKO (R1)
Grujic 32%68% Indich
CONFIDENT
→Elo gap: -0(favors Indich)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.5(favors Indich)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Indich)
Welterweight✓
Neil Magny won by KO/TKO (R2)
Magny 73%27% Lima
CONFIDENT
→Elo gap: +97(favors Magny)
→Striking volume advantage: +3.2(favors Magny)
→Takedown rate advantage: +2.6(favors Magny)
Featherweight✓
Dan Hooker won by KO/TKO (R1)
Hooker 58%42% Entwistle
LEAN
→Elo gap: -0(favors Entwistle)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.0(favors Entwistle)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Entwistle)
Light Heavyweight✓
Gian Villante won by Decision - Split (R3)
Villante 53%47% O'Connell
TOSS-UP
Striker vs All-Rounder — Striker wins 51% historically
→Elo gap: +72(favors Villante)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.1(favors O'Connell)
→Takedown rate advantage: +1.9(favors Villante)