UFC Fight Night: Henderson vs Khabilov
Saturday, June 7, 2014·Albuquerque, New Mexico, USA
Model Record: 8/11Overall Model Accuracy: 63.4%
Lightweight✓
Benson Henderson won by Submission (R4)
Henderson 54%46% Khabilov
TOSS-UP
All-Rounder vs Striker — All-Rounder wins 49% historically
→Elo gap: +264(favors Henderson)
→Striking volume advantage: +0.6(favors Henderson)
→Takedown rate advantage: -4.3(favors Khabilov)
Lightweight✗
Diego Sanchez won by Decision - Split (R3)
Sanchez 40%60% Pearson
LEAN
All-Rounder vs Striker — All-Rounder wins 49% historically
→Elo gap: -98(favors Pearson)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.9(favors Pearson)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.8(favors Pearson)
Flyweight✓
John Dodson won by KO/TKO (R2)
Dodson 51%49% Moraga
TOSS-UP
Striker vs Wrestler — Striker wins 51% historically
→Elo gap: +13(favors Dodson)
→Striking volume advantage: +1.2(favors Dodson)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Moraga)
Lightweight✓
Rafael Dos Anjos won by KO/TKO (R2)
Anjos 66%34% High
CONFIDENT
→Elo gap: +290(favors Anjos)
→Striking volume advantage: +2.5(favors Anjos)
→Takedown rate advantage: +0.1(favors Anjos)
Lightweight✓
Piotr Hallmann won by Submission (R3)
Hallmann 65%35% Edwards
CONFIDENT
Wrestler vs All-Rounder — Wrestler wins 59% historically
→Elo gap: +2(favors Hallmann)
→Striking volume advantage: +0.9(favors Hallmann)
→Takedown rate advantage: +2.9(favors Hallmann)
Bantamweight✗
Bryan Caraway won by Submission (R2)
Caraway 42%58% Perez
LEAN
Wrestler vs Submission Artist — Wrestler wins 56% historically
→Elo gap: +57(favors Caraway)
→Striking volume advantage: -1.7(favors Perez)
→Takedown rate advantage: -1.4(favors Perez)
Bantamweight✓
Sergio Pettis won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Pettis 69%31% Meza
CONFIDENT
Striker vs Wrestler — Striker wins 51% historically
→Elo gap: -39(favors Meza)
→Striking volume advantage: +3.6(favors Pettis)
→Takedown rate advantage: +0.3(favors Pettis)
Welterweight✓
Lance Benoist won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Benoist 78%22% Voelker
STRONG
→Elo gap: +209(favors Benoist)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.7(favors Voelker)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.4(favors Voelker)
Flyweight✗
Scott Jorgensen won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Jorgensen 38%62% Martinez
LEAN
→Elo gap: -111(favors Martinez)
→Striking volume advantage: +1.2(favors Jorgensen)
→Takedown rate advantage: -4.4(favors Martinez)
Lightweight✓
Jon Tuck won by KO/TKO (R3)
Tuck 57%43% Lindsey
LEAN
→Elo gap: -3(favors Lindsey)
→Striking volume advantage: +3.4(favors Tuck)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Lindsey)
Light Heavyweight✓
Patrick Cummins won by KO/TKO (R2)
Cummins 52%48% Narvaez
TOSS-UP
→Elo gap: -42(favors Narvaez)
→Striking volume advantage: +6.1(favors Cummins)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Narvaez)