UFC Fight Night: Munoz vs Mousasi
Saturday, May 31, 2014·Berlin, Germany
Model Record: 4/10Overall Model Accuracy: 63.4%
Middleweight✓
Gegard Mousasi won by Submission (R1)
Mousasi 59%41% Munoz
LEAN
All-Rounder vs Wrestler — All-Rounder wins 42% historically
→Elo gap: -250(favors Munoz)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.1(favors Munoz)
→Takedown rate advantage: -3.9(favors Munoz)
Middleweight✗
CB Dollaway won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Dollaway 44%56% Carmont
LEAN
Wrestler vs Wrestler — Wrestler wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: -113(favors Carmont)
→Striking volume advantage: +1.8(favors Dollaway)
→Takedown rate advantage: +1.7(favors Dollaway)
Middleweight✓
Sean Strickland won by Decision - Split (R3)
Strickland 73%27% Barnatt
CONFIDENT
All-Rounder vs All-Rounder — All-Rounder wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: -159(favors Barnatt)
→Striking volume advantage: -3.0(favors Barnatt)
→Takedown rate advantage: +2.2(favors Strickland)
Featherweight✗
Niklas Backstrom won by Submission (R1)
Backstrom 33%67% Niinimaki
CONFIDENT
→Elo gap: -95(favors Niinimaki)
→Striking volume advantage: -1.1(favors Niinimaki)
→Takedown rate advantage: -4.0(favors Niinimaki)
Lightweight✗
Nick Hein won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Hein 45%55% Dober
TOSS-UP
Striker vs All-Rounder — Striker wins 51% historically
→Elo gap: +95(favors Hein)
→Striking volume advantage: -4.1(favors Dober)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Dober)
Middleweight✗
Magnus Cedenblad won by Submission (R2)
Cedenblad 36%64% Jotko
LEAN
Wrestler vs Striker — Wrestler wins 49% historically
→Elo gap: -88(favors Jotko)
→Striking volume advantage: +0.8(favors Cedenblad)
→Takedown rate advantage: -1.0(favors Jotko)
Bantamweight✓
Iuri Alcantara won by KO/TKO (R1)
Alcantara 62%38% Lee
LEAN
All-Rounder vs All-Rounder — All-Rounder wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: +121(favors Alcantara)
→Striking volume advantage: -2.3(favors Lee)
→Takedown rate advantage: +1.2(favors Alcantara)
Welterweight✗
Peter Sobotta won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Sobotta 40%60% Pawlak
LEAN
→Elo gap: -186(favors Pawlak)
→Striking volume advantage: +1.5(favors Sobotta)
→Takedown rate advantage: +1.0(favors Sobotta)
Featherweight✓
Maximo Blanco won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Blanco 61%39% Ogle
LEAN
All-Rounder vs Striker — All-Rounder wins 49% historically
→Elo gap: +122(favors Blanco)
→Striking volume advantage: +0.6(favors Blanco)
→Takedown rate advantage: +0.4(favors Blanco)
Heavyweight✗
Ruslan Magomedov won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Magomedov 40%60% Pesta
LEAN
→Elo gap: -0(favors Pesta)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.0(favors Pesta)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Pesta)