UFC 173: Barao vs Dillashaw
Saturday, May 24, 2014·Las Vegas, Nevada, USA
Model Record: 5/12Overall Model Accuracy: 63.4%
BantamweightMISS
TJ Dillashaw won by KO/TKO (R5)
Dillashaw 31%69% Barao
CONFIDENT
Submission Artist vs All-Rounder — Submission Artist wins 56% historically
→Elo gap: -287(favors Barao)
→Striking volume advantage: +0.8(favors Dillashaw)
→Takedown rate advantage: +2.3(favors Dillashaw)
Light HeavyweightHIT
Daniel Cormier won by Submission (R3)
Cormier 63%37% Henderson
LEAN
All-Rounder vs All-Rounder — All-Rounder wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: -183(favors Henderson)
→Striking volume advantage: +2.5(favors Cormier)
→Takedown rate advantage: +1.0(favors Cormier)
WelterweightMISS
Robbie Lawler won by KO/TKO (R3)
Lawler 48%52% Ellenberger
TOSS-UP
Striker vs Striker — Striker wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: -96(favors Ellenberger)
→Striking volume advantage: +2.0(favors Lawler)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.8(favors Ellenberger)
BantamweightMISS
Takeya Mizugaki won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Mizugaki 44%56% Rivera
LEAN
All-Rounder vs All-Rounder — All-Rounder wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: +42(favors Mizugaki)
→Striking volume advantage: +0.1(favors Mizugaki)
→Takedown rate advantage: +1.6(favors Mizugaki)
LightweightHIT
James Krause won by KO/TKO (R1)
Krause 56%44% Varner
LEAN
Knockout Artist vs Wrestler — Knockout Artist wins 49% historically
→Elo gap: -5(favors Varner)
→Striking volume advantage: +2.5(favors Krause)
→Takedown rate advantage: -2.5(favors Varner)
LightweightHIT
Michael Chiesa won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Chiesa 74%26% Trinaldo
CONFIDENT
Wrestler vs Wrestler — Wrestler wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: +45(favors Chiesa)
→Striking volume advantage: -1.2(favors Trinaldo)
→Takedown rate advantage: +1.2(favors Chiesa)
LightweightHIT
Tony Ferguson won by KO/TKO (R1)
Ferguson 67%33% Kikuno
CONFIDENT
→Elo gap: +136(favors Ferguson)
→Striking volume advantage: +2.5(favors Ferguson)
→Takedown rate advantage: -1.9(favors Kikuno)
BantamweightMISS
Chris Holdsworth won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Holdsworth 47%53% Camus
TOSS-UP
→Elo gap: +73(favors Holdsworth)
→Striking volume advantage: +0.4(favors Holdsworth)
→Takedown rate advantage: +0.8(favors Holdsworth)
LightweightMISS
Mitch Clarke won by Submission (R2)
Clarke 39%61% Iaquinta
LEAN
Wrestler vs Striker — Wrestler wins 49% historically
→Elo gap: -227(favors Iaquinta)
→Striking volume advantage: -3.0(favors Iaquinta)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.7(favors Iaquinta)
LightweightHIT
Vinc Pichel won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Pichel 51%49% Njokuani
TOSS-UP
All-Rounder vs All-Rounder — All-Rounder wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: -205(favors Njokuani)
→Striking volume advantage: -1.7(favors Njokuani)
→Takedown rate advantage: +6.5(favors Pichel)
FeatherweightMISS
Sam Sicilia won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Sicilia 44%56% Phillips
LEAN
→Elo gap: -85(favors Phillips)
→Striking volume advantage: +3.0(favors Sicilia)
→Takedown rate advantage: +1.1(favors Sicilia)
WelterweightMISS
Li Jingliang won by Decision - Split (R3)
Jingliang 47%53% Michaud
TOSS-UP
→Elo gap: -0(favors Michaud)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.0(favors Michaud)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Michaud)