UFC 172: Jones vs Teixeira
Saturday, April 26, 2014·Baltimore, Maryland, USA
Model Record: 7/10Overall Model Accuracy: 63.4%
Light Heavyweight✓
Jon Jones won by Decision - Unanimous (R5)
Jones 78%22% Teixeira
STRONG
All-Rounder vs Submission Artist — All-Rounder wins 44% historically
→Elo gap: +387(favors Jones)
→Striking volume advantage: -2.0(favors Teixeira)
→Takedown rate advantage: -3.3(favors Teixeira)
Light Heavyweight✗
Anthony Johnson won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Johnson 27%73% Davis
CONFIDENT
Submission Artist vs Wrestler — Submission Artist wins 44% historically
→Elo gap: -213(favors Davis)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.8(favors Davis)
→Takedown rate advantage: +0.7(favors Johnson)
Middleweight✓
Luke Rockhold won by Submission (R1)
Rockhold 66%34% Boetsch
CONFIDENT
All-Rounder vs Knockout Artist — All-Rounder wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: -36(favors Boetsch)
→Striking volume advantage: +0.8(favors Rockhold)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.7(favors Boetsch)
Lightweight✓
Jim Miller won by Submission (R1)
Miller 64%36% Medeiros
LEAN
Wrestler vs Knockout Artist — Wrestler wins 51% historically
→Elo gap: +525(favors Miller)
→Striking volume advantage: -2.0(favors Medeiros)
→Takedown rate advantage: +1.7(favors Miller)
Featherweight✓
Max Holloway won by Submission (R3)
Holloway 52%48% Fili
TOSS-UP
Striker vs Striker — Striker wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: +108(favors Holloway)
→Striking volume advantage: -4.2(favors Fili)
→Takedown rate advantage: -2.5(favors Fili)
Flyweight✗
Joseph Benavidez won by Submission (R1)
Benavidez 34%66% Elliott
CONFIDENT
All-Rounder vs Wrestler — All-Rounder wins 42% historically
→Elo gap: +226(favors Benavidez)
→Striking volume advantage: -1.4(favors Elliott)
→Takedown rate advantage: -3.2(favors Elliott)
Lightweight✓
Takanori Gomi won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Gomi 64%36% Vallie-Flagg
LEAN
→Elo gap: +158(favors Gomi)
→Striking volume advantage: +0.7(favors Gomi)
→Takedown rate advantage: +0.3(favors Gomi)
Women's Bantamweight✗
Bethe Correia won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Correia 49%51% Duke
TOSS-UP
→Elo gap: -30(favors Duke)
→Striking volume advantage: -3.9(favors Duke)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Duke)
Lightweight✓
Danny Castillo won by KO/TKO (R2)
Castillo 70%30% Brenneman
CONFIDENT
Wrestler vs Striker — Wrestler wins 49% historically
→Elo gap: +348(favors Castillo)
→Striking volume advantage: +1.5(favors Castillo)
→Takedown rate advantage: +0.9(favors Castillo)
Bantamweight✓
Chris Beal won by KO/TKO (R2)
Beal 53%47% Williams
TOSS-UP
→Elo gap: -0(favors Williams)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.0(favors Williams)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Williams)