UFC on FOX: Werdum vs Browne
Saturday, April 19, 2014·Orlando, Florida, USA·13 fights
Model: 11/13(85%)
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Main Card
HeavyweightHIT
Fabricio Werdum won by Decision - Unanimous (R5)
Werdum 57%43% Browne
Over/UnderOver 62%
Under 38%Over 62%
LEAN
All-Rounder vs Knockout Artist — All-Rounder wins 51% historically
→Elo gap: -89(favors Browne)
→Striking volume advantage: +1.8(favors Werdum)
→Takedown rate advantage: +0.2(favors Werdum)
Women's BantamweightMISS
Miesha Tate won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Tate 40%60% Carmouche
Over/UnderOver 59%
Under 41%Over 59%
LEAN
Wrestler vs Wrestler — Wrestler wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: -218(favors Carmouche)
→Striking volume advantage: -1.4(favors Carmouche)
→Takedown rate advantage: +0.4(favors Tate)
LightweightHIT
Donald Cerrone won by Submission (R1)
Cerrone 56%44% Barboza
Over/UnderOver 58%
Under 42%Over 58%
LEAN
All-Rounder vs Knockout Artist — All-Rounder wins 51% historically
→Elo gap: +103(favors Cerrone)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.7(favors Barboza)
→Takedown rate advantage: +2.3(favors Cerrone)
MiddleweightMISS
Yoel Romero won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Romero 43%57% Tavares
Over/UnderUnder 54%
Under 54%Over 46%
LEAN
Striker vs Striker — Striker wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: +240(favors Romero)
→Striking volume advantage: +0.4(favors Romero)
→Takedown rate advantage: -1.8(favors Tavares)
LightweightHIT
Khabib Nurmagomedov won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Nurmagomedov 65%35% Anjos
Over/UnderOver 65%
Under 35%Over 65%
CONFIDENT
Wrestler vs Wrestler — Wrestler wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: -33(favors Anjos)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.8(favors Anjos)
→Takedown rate advantage: +4.5(favors Nurmagomedov)
WelterweightHIT
Thiago Alves won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Alves 68%32% Baczynski
Over/UnderOver 58%
Under 42%Over 58%
CONFIDENT
All-Rounder vs Wrestler — All-Rounder wins 42% historically
→Elo gap: +247(favors Alves)
→Striking volume advantage: +1.4(favors Alves)
→Takedown rate advantage: +0.1(favors Alves)
Prelims
LightweightHIT
Jorge Masvidal won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Masvidal 73%27% Healy
Over/UnderOver 64%
Under 36%Over 64%
CONFIDENT
→Elo gap: +407(favors Masvidal)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.8(favors Healy)
→Takedown rate advantage: +0.4(favors Masvidal)
FeatherweightHIT
Alex White won by KO/TKO (R1)
White 57%43% Payan
Over/UnderOver 58%
Under 42%Over 58%
LEAN
→Elo gap: +219(favors White)
→Striking volume advantage: -2.3(favors Payan)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.6(favors Payan)
MiddleweightHIT
Caio Magalhaes won by KO/TKO (R1)
Magalhaes 70%30% Zachrich
Over/UnderUnder 55%
Under 55%Over 45%
CONFIDENT
→Elo gap: +248(favors Magalhaes)
→Striking volume advantage: +2.0(favors Magalhaes)
→Takedown rate advantage: +1.2(favors Magalhaes)
WelterweightHIT
Jordan Mein won by Decision - Split (R3)
Mein 73%27% Perpetuo
Over/UnderUnder 51%
Under 51%Over 49%
CONFIDENT
→Elo gap: +115(favors Mein)
→Striking volume advantage: +5.0(favors Mein)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Perpetuo)
FlyweightHIT
Dustin Ortiz won by Decision - Split (R3)
Ortiz 52%48% Borg
Over/UnderOver 52%
Under 48%Over 52%
TOSS-UP
Striker vs Wrestler — Striker wins 51% historically
→Elo gap: +46(favors Ortiz)
→Striking volume advantage: +3.2(favors Ortiz)
→Takedown rate advantage: +3.2(favors Ortiz)
FeatherweightHIT
Mirsad Bektic won by Decision - Majority (R3)
Bektic 53%47% Skelly
Over/UnderOver 55%
Under 45%Over 55%
TOSS-UP
Wrestler vs Wrestler — Wrestler wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: -0(favors Skelly)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.0(favors Skelly)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Skelly)
HeavyweightHIT
Derrick Lewis won by KO/TKO (R1)
Lewis 52%48% May
Over/UnderUnder 65%
Under 65%Over 35%
TOSS-UP
→Elo gap: -0(favors May)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.0(favors May)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors May)