UFC Fight Night: Shogun vs Henderson 2
Sunday, March 23, 2014·Natal, Rio Grande do Norte, Brazil
Model Record: 5/10Overall Model Accuracy: 63.4%
Light HeavyweightMISS
Dan Henderson won by KO/TKO (R3)
Henderson 33%67% Rua
CONFIDENT
All-Rounder vs All-Rounder — All-Rounder wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: -40(favors Rua)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.7(favors Rua)
→Takedown rate advantage: -1.9(favors Rua)
MiddleweightHIT
CB Dollaway won by KO/TKO (R1)
Dollaway 62%38% Ferreira
LEAN
Wrestler vs Wrestler — Wrestler wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: -172(favors Ferreira)
→Striking volume advantage: +1.1(favors Dollaway)
→Takedown rate advantage: +2.1(favors Dollaway)
Lightweight
Santos 34%66% Parke
CONFIDENT
All-Rounder vs Striker — All-Rounder wins 49% historically
→Elo gap: -117(favors Parke)
→Striking volume advantage: -2.0(favors Parke)
→Takedown rate advantage: -1.5(favors Parke)
Light HeavyweightMISS
Fabio Maldonado won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Maldonado 45%55% Villante
TOSS-UP
All-Rounder vs Striker — All-Rounder wins 49% historically
→Elo gap: -5(favors Villante)
→Striking volume advantage: +1.1(favors Maldonado)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.3(favors Villante)
LightweightMISS
Michel Prazeres won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Prazeres 42%58% Taisumov
LEAN
Wrestler vs Striker — Wrestler wins 49% historically
→Elo gap: -93(favors Taisumov)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.6(favors Taisumov)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Taisumov)
FeatherweightHIT
Rony Jason won by KO/TKO (R1)
Jason 53%47% Siler
TOSS-UP
All-Rounder vs Wrestler — All-Rounder wins 42% historically
→Elo gap: -81(favors Siler)
→Striking volume advantage: +1.2(favors Jason)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.1(favors Siler)
MiddleweightMISS
Thiago Santos won by KO/TKO (R1)
Santos 32%68% Markes
CONFIDENT
→Elo gap: -193(favors Markes)
→Striking volume advantage: -2.2(favors Markes)
→Takedown rate advantage: -3.2(favors Markes)
FlyweightHIT
Jussier Formiga won by Submission (R1)
Formiga 74%26% Jorgensen
CONFIDENT
Wrestler vs All-Rounder — Wrestler wins 59% historically
→Elo gap: +115(favors Formiga)
→Striking volume advantage: -2.9(favors Jorgensen)
→Takedown rate advantage: +1.7(favors Formiga)
WelterweightHIT
Kenny Robertson won by Submission (R1)
Robertson 56%44% Perpetuo
LEAN
→Elo gap: +32(favors Robertson)
→Striking volume advantage: -3.1(favors Perpetuo)
→Takedown rate advantage: -1.3(favors Perpetuo)
Light HeavyweightMISS
Hans Stringer won by Decision - Split (R3)
Stringer 31%69% Barroso
CONFIDENT
→Elo gap: -63(favors Barroso)
→Striking volume advantage: -2.1(favors Barroso)
→Takedown rate advantage: -2.0(favors Barroso)
FeatherweightHIT
Godofredo Pepey won by KO/TKO (R1)
Pepey 55%45% Lahat
LEAN
→Elo gap: -244(favors Lahat)
→Striking volume advantage: +2.1(favors Pepey)
→Takedown rate advantage: +0.4(favors Pepey)