UFC 171: Hendricks vs Lawler
Saturday, March 15, 2014·Dallas, Texas, USA
Model Record: 6/13Overall Model Accuracy: 63.4%
Welterweight✓
Johny Hendricks won by Decision - Unanimous (R5)
Hendricks 65%35% Lawler
CONFIDENT
Striker vs Striker — Striker wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: +407(favors Hendricks)
→Striking volume advantage: +0.1(favors Hendricks)
→Takedown rate advantage: +3.4(favors Hendricks)
Welterweight✗
Tyron Woodley won by KO/TKO (R2)
Woodley 39%61% Condit
LEAN
All-Rounder vs All-Rounder — All-Rounder wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: -408(favors Condit)
→Striking volume advantage: +0.8(favors Woodley)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Condit)
Lightweight✓
Myles Jury won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Jury 77%23% Sanchez
STRONG
All-Rounder vs All-Rounder — All-Rounder wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: +151(favors Jury)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.8(favors Sanchez)
→Takedown rate advantage: +2.2(favors Jury)
Welterweight✗
Hector Lombard won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Lombard 48%52% Shields
TOSS-UP
All-Rounder vs Striker — All-Rounder wins 49% historically
→Elo gap: +36(favors Lombard)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.5(favors Shields)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.4(favors Shields)
Light Heavyweight✗
Ovince Saint Preux won by Submission (R1)
Preux 42%58% Krylov
LEAN
All-Rounder vs Submission Artist — All-Rounder wins 44% historically
→Elo gap: +222(favors Preux)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.5(favors Krylov)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Krylov)
Welterweight✗
Kelvin Gastelum won by Decision - Split (R3)
Gastelum 40%60% Story
LEAN
All-Rounder vs All-Rounder — All-Rounder wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: -107(favors Story)
→Striking volume advantage: -1.4(favors Story)
→Takedown rate advantage: +0.2(favors Gastelum)
Women's Bantamweight✓
Jessica Andrade won by Decision - Split (R3)
Andrade 53%47% Pennington
TOSS-UP
Knockout Artist vs All-Rounder — Knockout Artist wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: -147(favors Pennington)
→Striking volume advantage: +3.7(favors Andrade)
→Takedown rate advantage: +0.3(favors Andrade)
Featherweight✗
Dennis Bermudez won by KO/TKO (R3)
Bermudez 49%51% Hettes
TOSS-UP
Wrestler vs Wrestler — Wrestler wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: +162(favors Bermudez)
→Striking volume advantage: +0.7(favors Bermudez)
→Takedown rate advantage: -2.5(favors Hettes)
Welterweight✓
Alex Garcia won by Decision - Split (R3)
Garcia 69%31% Spencer
CONFIDENT
Wrestler vs Striker — Wrestler wins 49% historically
→Elo gap: +72(favors Garcia)
→Striking volume advantage: +7.4(favors Garcia)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Spencer)
Lightweight✗
Francisco Trevino won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Trevino 40%60% Forte
LEAN
→Elo gap: +67(favors Trevino)
→Striking volume advantage: -2.6(favors Forte)
→Takedown rate advantage: -1.0(favors Forte)
Flyweight✓
Justin Scoggins won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Scoggins 77%23% Campuzano
STRONG
→Elo gap: +343(favors Scoggins)
→Striking volume advantage: +3.0(favors Scoggins)
→Takedown rate advantage: +4.7(favors Scoggins)
Middleweight✓
Sean Strickland won by Submission (R1)
Strickland 50%50% McDaniel
TOSS-UP
→Elo gap: -51(favors McDaniel)
→Striking volume advantage: -1.8(favors McDaniel)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.5(favors McDaniel)
Featherweight✗
Robert Whiteford won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Whiteford 33%67% Pineda
CONFIDENT
→Elo gap: -71(favors Pineda)
→Striking volume advantage: -1.1(favors Pineda)
→Takedown rate advantage: -1.3(favors Pineda)