UFC Fight Night: Gustafsson vs Manuwa
Saturday, March 8, 2014·London, England, United Kingdom
Model Record: 7/8Overall Model Accuracy: 63.4%
Light Heavyweight✓
Alexander Gustafsson won by KO/TKO (R2)
Gustafsson 68%32% Manuwa
CONFIDENT
All-Rounder vs All-Rounder — All-Rounder wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: +225(favors Gustafsson)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.2(favors Manuwa)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Manuwa)
Lightweight✓
Michael Johnson won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Johnson 59%41% Guillard
LEAN
Striker vs All-Rounder — Striker wins 51% historically
→Elo gap: +127(favors Johnson)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.4(favors Guillard)
→Takedown rate advantage: +0.2(favors Johnson)
Flyweight✓
Brad Pickett won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Pickett 56%44% Seery
LEAN
All-Rounder vs Wrestler — All-Rounder wins 42% historically
→Elo gap: +81(favors Pickett)
→Striking volume advantage: +3.9(favors Pickett)
→Takedown rate advantage: +2.6(favors Pickett)
Welterweight✓
Gunnar Nelson won by Submission (R1)
Nelson 65%35% Akhmedov
LEAN
Wrestler vs All-Rounder — Wrestler wins 59% historically
→Elo gap: -57(favors Akhmedov)
→Striking volume advantage: -1.2(favors Akhmedov)
→Takedown rate advantage: -1.9(favors Akhmedov)
Light Heavyweight✓
Ilir Latifi won by Submission (R1)
Latifi 55%45% Diabate
LEAN
Wrestler vs Knockout Artist — Wrestler wins 51% historically
→Elo gap: -83(favors Diabate)
→Striking volume advantage: -3.8(favors Diabate)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.7(favors Diabate)
Middleweight✓
Luke Barnatt won by KO/TKO (R1)
Barnatt 83%17% Nilsson
STRONG
→Elo gap: +233(favors Barnatt)
→Striking volume advantage: +6.8(favors Barnatt)
→Takedown rate advantage: +1.4(favors Barnatt)
Middleweight✗
Claudio Silva won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Silva 47%53% Scott
TOSS-UP
Wrestler vs Wrestler — Wrestler wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: -38(favors Scott)
→Striking volume advantage: -3.6(favors Scott)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.8(favors Scott)
Welterweight✓
Igor Araujo won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Araujo 66%34% Mitchell
CONFIDENT
→Elo gap: +122(favors Araujo)
→Striking volume advantage: +1.4(favors Araujo)
→Takedown rate advantage: +1.0(favors Araujo)
Flyweight
Harris 63%37% Gaudinot
LEAN
→Elo gap: -57(favors Gaudinot)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.5(favors Gaudinot)
→Takedown rate advantage: +0.9(favors Harris)