UFC Fight Night: Royval vs. Kape
Saturday, December 13, 2025·Las Vegas, Nevada, USA
Model Record: 7/11Overall Model Accuracy: 63.4%
Flyweight✓
Manel Kape won by KO/TKO (R1)
Kape 57%43% Royval
LEAN
All-Rounder vs Knockout Artist — All-Rounder wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: +63(favors Kape)
→Striking volume advantage: -1.4(favors Royval)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.4(favors Royval)
Featherweight✓
Kevin Vallejos won by KO/TKO (R2)
Vallejos 62%38% Chikadze
LEAN
→Elo gap: -127(favors Chikadze)
→Striking volume advantage: +1.6(favors Vallejos)
→Takedown rate advantage: +1.6(favors Vallejos)
Middleweight✓
Cezary Oleksiejczuk won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Oleksiejczuk 51%49% Almeida
TOSS-UP
→Elo gap: -244(favors Almeida)
→Striking volume advantage: -4.0(favors Almeida)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Almeida)
Featherweight✓
Melquizael Costa won by KO/TKO (R1)
Costa 58%42% Charriere
LEAN
Wrestler vs All-Rounder — Wrestler wins 59% historically
→Elo gap: +184(favors Costa)
→Striking volume advantage: +0.1(favors Costa)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.1(favors Charriere)
Heavyweight
Nzechukwu 70%30% Buchecha
CONFIDENT
→Elo gap: +143(favors Nzechukwu)
→Striking volume advantage: +5.5(favors Nzechukwu)
→Takedown rate advantage: -1.0(favors Buchecha)
Catch Weight✓
King Green won by Decision - Split (R3)
Green 63%37% Jr.
LEAN
→Elo gap: +132(favors Green)
→Striking volume advantage: +9.5(favors Green)
→Takedown rate advantage: +1.3(favors Green)
Welterweight✗
Yaroslav Amosov won by Submission (R1)
Amosov 32%68% Magny
CONFIDENT
→Elo gap: -478(favors Magny)
→Striking volume advantage: -3.1(favors Magny)
→Takedown rate advantage: -1.9(favors Magny)
Featherweight✓
Joanderson Brito won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Brito 60%40% Thomson
LEAN
→Elo gap: +251(favors Brito)
→Striking volume advantage: +1.8(favors Brito)
→Takedown rate advantage: +1.8(favors Brito)
Heavyweight✗
Steven Asplund won by KO/TKO (R2)
Asplund 48%52% Sharaf
TOSS-UP
→Elo gap: +178(favors Asplund)
→Striking volume advantage: -7.3(favors Sharaf)
→Takedown rate advantage: -2.1(favors Sharaf)
Women's Bantamweight✓
Luana Santos won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Santos 71%29% Croden
CONFIDENT
→Elo gap: +82(favors Santos)
→Striking volume advantage: -3.1(favors Croden)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.1(favors Croden)
Heavyweight✗
Guilherme Pat won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Pat 40%60% Jr.
LEAN
→Elo gap: -0(favors Jr.)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.0(favors Jr.)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Jr.)
Women's Flyweight✗
Jamey-Lyn Horth won by KO/TKO (R1)
Horth 42%58% Bleda
LEAN
→Elo gap: +94(favors Horth)
→Striking volume advantage: +0.7(favors Horth)
→Takedown rate advantage: -1.1(favors Bleda)