UFC Fight Night: Machida vs Mousasi
Saturday, February 15, 2014·Jaragua do Sul, Santa Catarina, Brazil
Model Record: 8/12Overall Model Accuracy: 63.4%
Middleweight✓
Lyoto Machida won by Decision - Unanimous (R5)
Machida 58%42% Mousasi
LEAN
All-Rounder vs All-Rounder — All-Rounder wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: +511(favors Machida)
→Striking volume advantage: -3.4(favors Mousasi)
→Takedown rate advantage: +0.3(favors Machida)
Middleweight✓
Jacare Souza won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Souza 53%47% Carmont
TOSS-UP
All-Rounder vs Wrestler — All-Rounder wins 42% historically
→Elo gap: -35(favors Carmont)
→Striking volume advantage: +3.8(favors Souza)
→Takedown rate advantage: +0.0(favors Souza)
Welterweight✓
Erick Silva won by KO/TKO (R1)
Silva 76%24% Sato
STRONG
→Elo gap: +139(favors Silva)
→Striking volume advantage: +2.2(favors Silva)
→Takedown rate advantage: +1.0(favors Silva)
Welterweight✗
Nicholas Musoke won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Musoke 34%66% Andrade
CONFIDENT
→Elo gap: +47(favors Musoke)
→Striking volume advantage: -3.6(favors Andrade)
→Takedown rate advantage: +4.8(favors Musoke)
Featherweight✗
Charles Oliveira won by Submission (R3)
Oliveira 49%51% Ogle
TOSS-UP
Wrestler vs Striker — Wrestler wins 49% historically
→Elo gap: +221(favors Oliveira)
→Striking volume advantage: +1.2(favors Oliveira)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.2(favors Ogle)
Lightweight✓
Joe Proctor won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Proctor 56%44% Marcello
LEAN
→Elo gap: +139(favors Proctor)
→Striking volume advantage: -2.0(favors Marcello)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.4(favors Marcello)
Lightweight✗
Rodrigo Damm won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Damm 41%59% Jorge
LEAN
→Elo gap: +44(favors Damm)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.3(favors Jorge)
→Takedown rate advantage: -1.1(favors Jorge)
Lightweight✓
Francisco Trinaldo won by Decision - Split (R3)
Trinaldo 54%46% Ronson
TOSS-UP
→Elo gap: +133(favors Trinaldo)
→Striking volume advantage: +0.2(favors Trinaldo)
→Takedown rate advantage: +0.6(favors Trinaldo)
Bantamweight✗
Iuri Alcantara won by Decision - Split (R3)
Alcantara 43%57% Reis
LEAN
Knockout Artist vs Wrestler — Knockout Artist wins 49% historically
→Elo gap: -17(favors Reis)
→Striking volume advantage: +0.3(favors Alcantara)
→Takedown rate advantage: -3.4(favors Reis)
Featherweight✓
Felipe Arantes won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Arantes 53%47% Blanco
TOSS-UP
All-Rounder vs All-Rounder — All-Rounder wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: +3(favors Arantes)
→Striking volume advantage: +0.4(favors Arantes)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.3(favors Blanco)
Welterweight✓
Ildemar Alcantara won by Decision - Split (R3)
Alcantara 64%36% Tumenov
LEAN
All-Rounder vs Striker — All-Rounder wins 49% historically
→Elo gap: +40(favors Alcantara)
→Striking volume advantage: +2.0(favors Alcantara)
→Takedown rate advantage: +3.2(favors Alcantara)
Featherweight✓
Zubaira Tukhugov won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Tukhugov 51%49% Andrade
TOSS-UP
Striker vs All-Rounder — Striker wins 51% historically
→Elo gap: -0(favors Andrade)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.0(favors Andrade)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Andrade)