UFC on FOX: Johnson vs. Benavidez 2
Saturday, December 14, 2013·Sacramento, California, USA
Model Record: 8/11Overall Model Accuracy: 63.4%
Flyweight✓
Demetrious Johnson won by KO/TKO (R1)
Johnson 73%27% Benavidez
CONFIDENT
Wrestler vs Knockout Artist — Wrestler wins 51% historically
→Elo gap: +58(favors Johnson)
→Striking volume advantage: +0.8(favors Johnson)
→Takedown rate advantage: +2.7(favors Johnson)
Bantamweight✓
Urijah Faber won by Submission (R2)
Faber 51%49% McDonald
TOSS-UP
Wrestler vs Knockout Artist — Wrestler wins 51% historically
→Elo gap: +31(favors Faber)
→Striking volume advantage: +0.8(favors Faber)
→Takedown rate advantage: +1.6(favors Faber)
Featherweight✓
Chad Mendes won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Mendes 67%33% Lentz
CONFIDENT
Knockout Artist vs Wrestler — Knockout Artist wins 49% historically
→Elo gap: +230(favors Mendes)
→Striking volume advantage: +0.6(favors Mendes)
→Takedown rate advantage: -2.8(favors Lentz)
Lightweight✓
Joe Lauzon won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Lauzon 55%45% Danzig
LEAN
Submission Artist vs All-Rounder — Submission Artist wins 56% historically
→Elo gap: +153(favors Lauzon)
→Striking volume advantage: -1.8(favors Danzig)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.7(favors Danzig)
Welterweight✓
Ryan LaFlare won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
LaFlare 62%38% McGee
LEAN
Striker vs All-Rounder — Striker wins 51% historically
→Elo gap: -15(favors McGee)
→Striking volume advantage: -2.7(favors McGee)
→Takedown rate advantage: +4.5(favors LaFlare)
Lightweight✓
Edson Barboza won by Decision - Majority (R3)
Barboza 59%41% Castillo
LEAN
Striker vs Wrestler — Striker wins 51% historically
→Elo gap: -10(favors Castillo)
→Striking volume advantage: +2.2(favors Barboza)
→Takedown rate advantage: -3.9(favors Castillo)
Lightweight✓
King Green won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Green 73%27% Healy
CONFIDENT
→Elo gap: +406(favors Green)
→Striking volume advantage: +0.6(favors Green)
→Takedown rate advantage: -1.6(favors Healy)
Flyweight✗
Zach Makovsky won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Makovsky 39%61% Jorgensen
LEAN
Striker vs All-Rounder — Striker wins 51% historically
→Elo gap: +41(favors Makovsky)
→Striking volume advantage: -4.0(favors Jorgensen)
→Takedown rate advantage: -1.4(favors Jorgensen)
Lightweight✗
Sam Stout won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Stout 37%63% McKenzie
LEAN
Striker vs Wrestler — Striker wins 51% historically
→Elo gap: +28(favors Stout)
→Striking volume advantage: +2.2(favors Stout)
→Takedown rate advantage: -1.4(favors McKenzie)
Lightweight✓
Abel Trujillo won by KO/TKO (R2)
Trujillo 62%38% Bowling
LEAN
→Elo gap: +183(favors Trujillo)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.5(favors Bowling)
→Takedown rate advantage: -2.9(favors Bowling)
Flyweight✗
Alptekin Ozkilic won by Decision - Split (R3)
Ozkilic 44%56% Uyenoyama
LEAN
→Elo gap: -36(favors Uyenoyama)
→Striking volume advantage: -1.0(favors Uyenoyama)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.9(favors Uyenoyama)