UFC Fight Night: Belfort vs Henderson 2
Saturday, November 9, 2013·Goiania, Goias, Brazil
Model Record: 5/11Overall Model Accuracy: 63.4%
Light Heavyweight✓
Vitor Belfort won by KO/TKO (R1)
Belfort 60%40% Henderson
LEAN
Knockout Artist vs All-Rounder — Knockout Artist wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: +194(favors Belfort)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.4(favors Henderson)
→Takedown rate advantage: -1.1(favors Henderson)
Middleweight✓
Cezar Ferreira won by Decision - Split (R3)
Ferreira 60%40% Sarafian
LEAN
Wrestler vs All-Rounder — Wrestler wins 59% historically
→Elo gap: +101(favors Ferreira)
→Striking volume advantage: +0.2(favors Ferreira)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.9(favors Sarafian)
Light Heavyweight✗
Rafael Cavalcante won by KO/TKO (R1)
Cavalcante 43%57% Pokrajac
LEAN
→Elo gap: -35(favors Pokrajac)
→Striking volume advantage: +2.9(favors Cavalcante)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.6(favors Pokrajac)
Welterweight✓
Brandon Thatch won by KO/TKO (R1)
Thatch 69%31% Thiago
CONFIDENT
Striker vs Wrestler — Striker wins 51% historically
→Elo gap: +102(favors Thatch)
→Striking volume advantage: +10.6(favors Thatch)
→Takedown rate advantage: +8.6(favors Thatch)
Welterweight✓
Ryan LaFlare won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
LaFlare 68%32% Ponzinibbio
CONFIDENT
Striker vs Striker — Striker wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: +115(favors LaFlare)
→Striking volume advantage: +2.5(favors LaFlare)
→Takedown rate advantage: +6.0(favors LaFlare)
Featherweight✗
Jeremy Stephens won by KO/TKO (R1)
Stephens 42%58% Jason
LEAN
Wrestler vs All-Rounder — Wrestler wins 59% historically
→Elo gap: -215(favors Jason)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.7(favors Jason)
→Takedown rate advantage: +3.0(favors Stephens)
Featherweight✗
Sam Sicilia won by KO/TKO (R1)
Sicilia 49%51% Pepey
TOSS-UP
Wrestler vs Wrestler — Wrestler wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: +12(favors Sicilia)
→Striking volume advantage: +0.9(favors Sicilia)
→Takedown rate advantage: +0.5(favors Sicilia)
Middleweight✗
Omari Akhmedov won by KO/TKO (R1)
Akhmedov 38%62% Perpetuo
LEAN
→Elo gap: -128(favors Perpetuo)
→Striking volume advantage: -6.4(favors Perpetuo)
→Takedown rate advantage: -1.4(favors Perpetuo)
Lightweight✓
Thiago Tavares won by Submission (R1)
Tavares 62%38% Salas
LEAN
Wrestler vs Striker — Wrestler wins 49% historically
→Elo gap: +108(favors Tavares)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.9(favors Salas)
→Takedown rate advantage: +0.1(favors Tavares)
Lightweight✗
Adriano Martins won by Submission (R2)
Martins 37%63% Cruickshank
LEAN
All-Rounder vs Wrestler — All-Rounder wins 42% historically
→Elo gap: -150(favors Cruickshank)
→Striking volume advantage: -3.1(favors Cruickshank)
→Takedown rate advantage: -1.1(favors Cruickshank)
Flyweight✗
Dustin Ortiz won by KO/TKO (R3)
Ortiz 49%51% Maria
TOSS-UP
→Elo gap: +100(favors Ortiz)
→Striking volume advantage: -3.1(favors Maria)
→Takedown rate advantage: -2.5(favors Maria)