UFC 165: Jones vs Gustafsson
Saturday, September 21, 2013·Toronto, Ontario, Canada
Model Record: 13/13Overall Model Accuracy: 63.4%
Light HeavyweightHIT
Jon Jones won by Decision - Unanimous (R5)
Jones 67%33% Gustafsson
CONFIDENT
Wrestler vs Submission Artist — Wrestler wins 56% historically
→Elo gap: +287(favors Jones)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.5(favors Gustafsson)
→Takedown rate advantage: -1.0(favors Gustafsson)
BantamweightHIT
Renan Barao won by KO/TKO (R2)
Barao 73%27% Wineland
CONFIDENT
All-Rounder vs Striker — All-Rounder wins 49% historically
→Elo gap: +260(favors Barao)
→Striking volume advantage: +0.5(favors Barao)
→Takedown rate advantage: +1.4(favors Barao)
HeavyweightHIT
Brendan Schaub won by Submission (R1)
Schaub 58%42% Mitrione
LEAN
Wrestler vs Striker — Wrestler wins 49% historically
→Elo gap: -101(favors Mitrione)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.3(favors Mitrione)
→Takedown rate advantage: +2.8(favors Schaub)
MiddleweightHIT
Francis Carmont won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Carmont 58%42% Philippou
LEAN
Wrestler vs All-Rounder — Wrestler wins 59% historically
→Elo gap: -168(favors Philippou)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.9(favors Philippou)
→Takedown rate advantage: +1.1(favors Carmont)
LightweightHIT
Khabib Nurmagomedov won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Nurmagomedov 77%23% Healy
STRONG
→Elo gap: +519(favors Nurmagomedov)
→Striking volume advantage: -1.6(favors Healy)
→Takedown rate advantage: +3.7(favors Nurmagomedov)
LightweightHIT
Myles Jury won by Decision - Split (R3)
Jury 67%33% Ricci
CONFIDENT
→Elo gap: +358(favors Jury)
→Striking volume advantage: +1.0(favors Jury)
→Takedown rate advantage: +2.0(favors Jury)
BantamweightHIT
Wilson Reis won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Reis 54%46% Menjivar
TOSS-UP
Wrestler vs Wrestler — Wrestler wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: -75(favors Menjivar)
→Striking volume advantage: -3.3(favors Menjivar)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.7(favors Menjivar)
WelterweightHIT
Stephen Thompson won by KO/TKO (R2)
Thompson 71%29% Clements
CONFIDENT
→Elo gap: +91(favors Thompson)
→Striking volume advantage: +0.6(favors Thompson)
→Takedown rate advantage: +0.9(favors Thompson)
BantamweightHIT
Mitch Gagnon won by Submission (R1)
Gagnon 53%47% Kimura
TOSS-UP
→Elo gap: -101(favors Kimura)
→Striking volume advantage: +1.1(favors Gagnon)
→Takedown rate advantage: +1.2(favors Gagnon)
LightweightHIT
John Makdessi won by KO/TKO (R1)
Makdessi 61%39% Forte
LEAN
→Elo gap: +199(favors Makdessi)
→Striking volume advantage: +1.8(favors Makdessi)
→Takedown rate advantage: -1.1(favors Forte)
LightweightHIT
Michel Prazeres won by Decision - Split (R3)
Prazeres 53%47% Ronson
TOSS-UP
→Elo gap: -93(favors Ronson)
→Striking volume advantage: +2.0(favors Prazeres)
→Takedown rate advantage: +3.0(favors Prazeres)
BantamweightHIT
Alex Caceres won by Decision - Split (R3)
Caceres 55%45% Delorme
LEAN
Knockout Artist vs Wrestler — Knockout Artist wins 49% historically
→Elo gap: -214(favors Delorme)
→Striking volume advantage: +1.0(favors Caceres)
→Takedown rate advantage: -3.7(favors Delorme)
HeavyweightHIT
Daniel Omielanczuk won by KO/TKO (R3)
Omielanczuk 55%45% Guelmino
LEAN
→Elo gap: -0(favors Guelmino)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.0(favors Guelmino)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Guelmino)