UFC Fight Night: Magny vs. Prates
Saturday, November 9, 2024·Las Vegas, Nevada, USA
Model Record: 8/11Overall Model Accuracy: 63.4%
Welterweight✓
Carlos Prates won by KO/TKO (R1)
Prates 64%36% Magny
LEAN
Striker vs All-Rounder — Striker wins 51% historically
→Elo gap: +119(favors Prates)
→Striking volume advantage: +2.4(favors Prates)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.3(favors Magny)
Middleweight✗
Reinier de Ridder won by Submission (R3)
Ridder 45%55% Meerschaert
TOSS-UP
→Elo gap: -270(favors Meerschaert)
→Striking volume advantage: -3.4(favors Meerschaert)
→Takedown rate advantage: -1.9(favors Meerschaert)
Bantamweight✗
Gaston Bolanos won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Bolanos 46%54% Romious
TOSS-UP
→Elo gap: -67(favors Romious)
→Striking volume advantage: +3.9(favors Bolanos)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Romious)
Women's Strawweight✓
Gillian Robertson won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Robertson 59%41% Pinheiro
LEAN
Wrestler vs Wrestler — Wrestler wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: +276(favors Robertson)
→Striking volume advantage: +0.2(favors Robertson)
→Takedown rate advantage: +0.4(favors Robertson)
Middleweight✓
Mansur Abdul-Malik won by KO/TKO (R1)
Abdul-Malik 69%31% Todorovic
CONFIDENT
→Elo gap: +116(favors Abdul-Malik)
→Striking volume advantage: -4.0(favors Todorovic)
→Takedown rate advantage: -1.3(favors Todorovic)
Women's Strawweight✓
Denise Gomes won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Gomes 66%34% Kowalkiewicz
CONFIDENT
All-Rounder vs All-Rounder — All-Rounder wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: +77(favors Gomes)
→Striking volume advantage: -3.1(favors Kowalkiewicz)
→Takedown rate advantage: +0.5(favors Gomes)
Welterweight✓
Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos won by KO/TKO (R1)
Santos 61%39% Scroggin
LEAN
→Elo gap: +284(favors Santos)
→Striking volume advantage: +4.5(favors Santos)
→Takedown rate advantage: +0.8(favors Santos)
Welterweight✓
Charles Radtke won by KO/TKO (R1)
Radtke 50%50% Semelsberger
TOSS-UP
Striker vs Knockout Artist — Striker wins 46% historically
→Elo gap: +60(favors Radtke)
→Striking volume advantage: +0.2(favors Radtke)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.4(favors Semelsberger)
Bantamweight✓
Da'Mon Blackshear won by Submission (R1)
Blackshear 55%45% Stamann
TOSS-UP
Wrestler vs Striker — Wrestler wins 49% historically
→Elo gap: +35(favors Blackshear)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.1(favors Stamann)
→Takedown rate advantage: +2.1(favors Blackshear)
Middleweight✓
Tresean Gore won by Submission (R1)
Gore 58%42% Trocoli
LEAN
→Elo gap: +66(favors Gore)
→Striking volume advantage: +1.8(favors Gore)
→Takedown rate advantage: +3.0(favors Gore)
Women's Bantamweight✗
Melissa Mullins won by KO/TKO (R2)
Mullins 50%50% Sygula
TOSS-UP
→Elo gap: -11(favors Sygula)
→Striking volume advantage: +2.7(favors Mullins)
→Takedown rate advantage: +0.7(favors Mullins)