UFC Fight Night: Condit vs Kampmann 2
Wednesday, August 28, 2013·Indianapolis, Indiana, USA
Model Record: 5/11Overall Model Accuracy: 63.4%
Welterweight✗
Carlos Condit won by KO/TKO (R4)
Condit 48%52% Kampmann
TOSS-UP
All-Rounder vs All-Rounder — All-Rounder wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: +43(favors Condit)
→Striking volume advantage: +0.2(favors Condit)
→Takedown rate advantage: -1.2(favors Kampmann)
Lightweight✓
Rafael Dos Anjos won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Anjos 71%29% Cerrone
CONFIDENT
Wrestler vs All-Rounder — Wrestler wins 59% historically
→Elo gap: +144(favors Anjos)
→Striking volume advantage: -2.3(favors Cerrone)
→Takedown rate advantage: +0.9(favors Anjos)
Welterweight✓
Kelvin Gastelum won by Submission (R1)
Gastelum 52%48% Melancon
TOSS-UP
→Elo gap: -137(favors Melancon)
→Striking volume advantage: -2.8(favors Melancon)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Melancon)
Welterweight✓
Court McGee won by Decision - Split (R3)
McGee 58%42% Whittaker
LEAN
All-Rounder vs Striker — All-Rounder wins 49% historically
→Elo gap: -115(favors Whittaker)
→Striking volume advantage: +1.1(favors McGee)
→Takedown rate advantage: +0.7(favors McGee)
Bantamweight✗
Takeya Mizugaki won by Decision - Split (R3)
Mizugaki 40%60% Perez
LEAN
Striker vs Wrestler — Striker wins 51% historically
→Elo gap: -84(favors Perez)
→Striking volume advantage: -4.5(favors Perez)
→Takedown rate advantage: +1.5(favors Mizugaki)
Middleweight✓
Brad Tavares won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Tavares 55%45% McDaniel
LEAN
→Elo gap: +107(favors Tavares)
→Striking volume advantage: +1.5(favors Tavares)
→Takedown rate advantage: +1.9(favors Tavares)
Middleweight✓
Dylan Andrews won by KO/TKO (R3)
Andrews 56%44% Abedi
LEAN
→Elo gap: +202(favors Andrews)
→Striking volume advantage: +2.6(favors Andrews)
→Takedown rate advantage: -3.3(favors Abedi)
Welterweight✗
Brandon Thatch won by KO/TKO (R1)
Thatch 45%55% Edwards
LEAN
Striker vs Wrestler — Striker wins 51% historically
→Elo gap: -95(favors Edwards)
→Striking volume advantage: -2.6(favors Edwards)
→Takedown rate advantage: -3.0(favors Edwards)
Featherweight✗
Darren Elkins won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Elkins 49%51% Hioki
TOSS-UP
Submission Artist vs All-Rounder — Submission Artist wins 56% historically
→Elo gap: +156(favors Elkins)
→Striking volume advantage: +0.0(favors Elkins)
→Takedown rate advantage: +0.4(favors Elkins)
Welterweight✗
Jason High won by Submission (R1)
High 50%50% Head
TOSS-UP
→Elo gap: -210(favors Head)
→Striking volume advantage: -2.1(favors Head)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.4(favors Head)
Welterweight✗
Zak Cummings won by Submission (R1)
Cummings 42%58% Alloway
LEAN
→Elo gap: -13(favors Alloway)
→Striking volume advantage: -1.3(favors Alloway)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.8(favors Alloway)
Lightweight
Bowling 28%72% Trujillo
CONFIDENT
→Elo gap: -204(favors Trujillo)
→Striking volume advantage: +0.6(favors Bowling)
→Takedown rate advantage: +0.7(favors Bowling)